inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 123 Excitement5.2 [771] MVPDevin Vassell (SAS): +20.9%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback2.8 [279] LVPAjay Mitchell (OKC): -11.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylin Williams0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.230.020.087106%0.1700.003100%0.01
Alex Caruso0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.090.04-0.03775%0.171-0.01667%-0.02
Chet Holmgren0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.110.05-0.00778%0.1600.00475%-0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.03-0.041757%0.192-0.0512100%0.05
Jared McCain0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.050.002155%0.141-0.032100%0.00
Isaiah Joe0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.010.02855%0.0100.00475%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.01-0.03450%0.052-0.04250%-0.02
Nikola Topić0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ajay Mitchell-0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.01520%-0.053-0.0700%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.150.03-0.031269%0.2100.005100%0.03
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.13-0.010.041565%0.092-0.011080%0.00
Stephon Castle0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.03-0.02847%0.051-0.031479%0.01
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.011050%0.0100.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001150%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dylan Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.02-0.04737%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.031454%0.064-0.0800%0.00
Luke Kornet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00367%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Carter Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00350%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.00542%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.40.132.20.046.20.034.00.0
league avg26.41.929.214.229.92.132.8136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +54.1%
SAS -10.4%
OKC +1.6%
OKC +4.9%
SAS -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game15.013.914.2123.0109.1113.5
season13.913.8117.3117.4
opponent14.614.7108.9105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.515.613.017.315.0
SAS13.115.713.214.013.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaylin Williams97960.52-0.020.540.0217-21915.04.011.0413.724.0-10.25
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander98970.500.000.500.061501514.90.014.9313.90.013.86
Alex Caruso92910.490.010.480.0216-11715.210.54.7213.716.0-2.29
Jared McCain86860.480.020.460.0116-11715.610.45.1413.516.4-2.83
Chet Holmgren84840.430.070.360.051321115.113.61.5013.516.4-2.92
Cason Wallace94940.400.100.310.021321115.28.56.7013.524.7-11.16
Isaiah Hartenstein92920.390.110.280.07114715.39.26.1413.618.8-5.21
Ajay Mitchell55560.300.200.110.0496315.014.80.1613.813.9-0.08
Luguentz Dort70690.280.220.050.0778-114.615.8-1.2013.814.1-0.35
Isaiah Joe86860.260.240.020.0678-115.511.04.4813.516.6-3.14
Nikola Topić21210.100.40-0.30-0.02411-717.414.33.1213.613.9-0.36
Kenrich Williams21210.100.40-0.30-0.02411-717.414.33.1213.613.9-0.36
Aaron Wiggins21210.100.40-0.30-0.02411-717.414.33.1213.613.9-0.36

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes1112-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-12917.413.63.8018.814.44.43
Lindy Waters III1919-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-11714.313.90.3317.814.33.53
Kelly Olynyk1919-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-11714.313.90.3317.814.33.53
Jordan McLaughlin1919-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-11714.313.90.3317.814.33.53
Mason Plumlee1919-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-11714.313.90.3317.814.33.53
Bismack Biyombo1919-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-11714.313.90.3317.814.33.53
Carter Bryant5151-0.15-0.350.20-0.06-3-12913.314.6-1.3715.114.80.26
Julian Champagnie8486-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.08-8-7-113.815.2-1.3415.312.42.86
Dylan Harper7577-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-12913.615.6-2.0915.811.74.08
Luke Kornet7271-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-150-1513.415.8-2.4115.513.42.11
Keldon Johnson6867-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-14-1-1313.515.3-1.7614.915.1-0.21
De'Aaron Fox9394-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.06-150-1513.917.5-3.5815.011.53.53
Devin Vassell9394-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.06-150-1513.917.5-3.5815.011.53.53
Victor Wembanyama9596-0.500.00-0.50-0.06-150-1514.00.014.0015.00.014.96
Stephon Castle8787-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-150-1514.014.4-0.4115.411.14.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.33,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 130, WAS 1260.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,094.0%
SAS 111, DAL 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.5%
NJN 90, HOU 770.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,093.3%