NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	4.6 [920]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +12.3%
Houston Rockets	77		Comeback	2.0 [286]		LVP	Keith Bogans (HOU): -18.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	-0.01	-0.02	20	62%	0.17	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.21	-0.01	0.08	17	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	20	90%	0.02
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	13	31%	-0.10	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.05	12	8%	-0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	27.6	16.3	24.5	2.3	35.6	136.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +49.1%

HOU -3.9%

HOU -6.5%

NJN +6.9%

NJN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	17.2	15.7	15.6	103.4	87.5	104.4
season	15.7	16.1		102.1	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.7		101.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.8	15.2	15.9	20.6	17.2
HOU	17.4	15.4	15.4	14.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	2	9	17.3	17.0	0.27	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Clifford Robinson	57	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-4	21	17.8	16.2	1.52	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Lamond Murray	40	42	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	0	13	16.9	17.5	-0.56	15.3	16.1	-0.78
Jason Kidd	66	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	12	-11	17.3	17.1	0.11	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Antoine Wright	19	21	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	16.1	17.5	-1.44	15.8	15.7	0.09
Jacque Vaughn	26	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	-1	15	17.2	17.2	0.00	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Richard Jefferson	66	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	9	-5	17.3	17.1	0.11	16.0	15.0	0.95
Zoran Planinic	14	15	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	5	3	17.5	17.2	0.32	15.1	15.8	-0.76
Jason Collins	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	20	-27	17.7	16.9	0.76	15.8	15.6	0.12
Nenad Krstic	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	14	-15	16.6	17.7	-1.10	17.7	14.4	3.28

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	7	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-12	11	16.3	15.6	0.64	16.3	17.3	-0.96
Charles Hayes	17	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-9	5	15.4	15.8	-0.35	18.9	16.9	1.98
Stromile Swift	28	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.5	15.8	-0.23	17.5	17.1	0.39
Yao Ming	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-11	9	16.2	13.8	2.39	17.6	15.8	1.76
Rick Brunson	40	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-2	-9	15.6	15.8	-0.22	18.9	15.9	2.98
Luther Head	74	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	15.3	17.8	-2.49	16.8	20.0	-3.21
Juwan Howard	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	16.0	15.2	0.77	16.2	19.4	-3.22
Keith Bogans	66	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-8	3	15.5	16.1	-0.59	17.1	17.6	-0.46
Rafer Alston	83	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	2	-17	15.7	16.4	-0.75	17.1	20.2	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, OKC 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
HOU 120, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NJN 100, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%