NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	100		Excitement	5.2 [632]		MVP	Deron Williams (NJN): +19.4%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	2.1 [113]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -13.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.21	0.02	0.04	22	68%	0.25	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	15	56%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Emmett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.03
Anthony Morrow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	45%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	5	87%	0.08	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	18	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	11	39%	0.02	6	-0.15	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.8	30.3	17.4	32.4	2.4	36.9	148.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +23.2%

NJN +4.6%

NJN +8.9%

NJN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	12.8	15.6	104.2	94.8	102.8
season	16.2	14.9		101.3	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		100.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.5	15.6	18.0	15.5	17.0
NYK	14.1	15.0	12.0	10.8	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	59	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-12	32	16.4	18.1	-1.69	12.8	12.9	-0.04
Johan Petro	40	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-12	32	16.2	17.6	-1.36	13.7	12.2	1.49
MarShon Brooks	79	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	1	6	16.7	18.8	-2.09	13.1	11.8	1.36
Kris Humphries	87	88	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	8	-8	17.0	17.6	-0.57	13.0	11.3	1.64
Deron Williams	65	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-4	16	17.8	15.4	2.40	13.1	12.1	1.00
Sundiata Gaines	33	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	11	-14	16.2	17.5	-1.22	12.2	13.1	-0.88
Shelden Williams	62	64	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.34	-8	16	-24	18.1	15.2	2.89	12.2	14.1	-1.87
DeShawn Stevenson	54	53	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.30	-8	16	-24	17.7	16.2	1.43	12.3	13.5	-1.24
Andre Emmett	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	17.2	-17.22	12.0	12.8	-0.83

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	50	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-22	36	12.1	13.6	-1.50	17.5	16.5	0.96
Landry Fields	63	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-17	26	13.5	11.6	1.81	17.6	16.0	1.61
Steve Novak	36	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-12	16	11.6	13.6	-1.97	16.6	17.3	-0.70
Baron Davis	19	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	4	-16	13.5	12.7	0.81	17.0	17.1	-0.05
Jeremy Lin	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	12.6	13.5	-0.91	17.6	15.3	2.33
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	13.1	12.2	0.90	16.9	17.5	-0.56
J.R. Smith	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	8	-24	12.4	13.3	-0.83	16.1	18.0	-1.88
Carmelo Anthony	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.14	-10	2	-12	13.0	12.3	0.65	17.0	17.3	-0.36
Jared Jeffries	47	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	14	-36	13.6	12.1	1.50	16.5	17.5	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
NJN 90, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.2%
SAS 104, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%