NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	120		Excitement	4.4 [905]		MVP	Brent Price (HOU): +10.3%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	1.9 [795]		LVP	Oliver Miller (TOR): -8.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.01	-0.06	6	80%	0.11	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	13	73%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Willis	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Maloney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Charles Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	40%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	-0.03	3	-0.05	11	55%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	29%	-0.04
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Kempton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	100%	0.00	3	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	15	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	16	51%	0.04	5	-0.12	11	73%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	26.5	15.7	24.2	2.3	28.3	122.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.8%

TOR -1.0%

HOU +6.7%

TOR -1.4%

HOU +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	15.6	125.0	98.0	102.5
season	15.7	15.5		104.5	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.2		108.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	15.3	14.5	16.8	15.5
TOR	14.7	17.5	14.9	10.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	5	14	16.3	13.8	2.46	15.5	11.5	3.99
Matt Bullard	55	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.26	20	4	16	15.4	15.6	-0.25	12.5	16.5	-4.08
Brent Price	47	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.24	19	5	14	16.1	14.9	1.17	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Kevin Willis	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	16	-8	14.6	16.7	-2.07	15.1	12.9	2.26
Clyde Drexler	59	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	18	-12	15.1	16.2	-1.09	15.2	12.6	2.67
Mario Elie	50	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	18	-12	15.1	15.9	-0.77	15.9	12.5	3.40
Rodrick Rhodes	46	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	6	12	15.9	15.1	0.77	12.5	15.9	-3.40
Othella Harrington	39	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	8	8	16.7	14.6	2.07	12.9	15.1	-2.26
Matt Maloney	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	22	-20	15.2	15.7	-0.54	15.9	13.1	2.88
Charles Jones	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	13.8	15.7	-1.89	10.5	14.8	-4.33
Emanual Davis	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	13.8	15.7	-1.89	9.7	14.7	-5.01

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	10.7	14.7	-4.04	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Tim Kempton	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	9.4	14.6	-5.27	14.0	15.6	-1.61
Tracy McGrady	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	10.5	14.8	-4.33	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Reggie Slater	60	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-19	14	13.6	15.2	-1.63	15.9	14.9	0.97
Zan Tabak	61	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-12	0	15.7	11.8	3.95	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Damon Stoudamire	83	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	-7	-10	14.6	12.3	2.22	15.9	13.5	2.40
Oliver Miller	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	-4	-16	14.6	12.7	1.92	15.6	15.0	0.63
John Wallace	55	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	-5	-14	13.1	15.6	-2.44	15.5	15.5	-0.08
Doug Christie	79	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	-6	-12	14.7	12.3	2.42	15.6	15.1	0.53
Shawn Respert	43	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-4	-16	15.1	13.5	1.57	15.3	15.6	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, OKC 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NJN 90, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.5%
GSW 116, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%