NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	117		Excitement	9.3 [119]		MVP	Donte DiVincenzo (NYK): +48.1%
New York Knicks	121		Comeback	5.7 [353]		LVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): -17.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.00	7	86%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.01	16	53%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron Nesmith	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	0.01	6	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
T.J. McConnell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	16	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,-0.01	0.09	-0.12	-0.01	16	61%	0.22	1	-0.23	6	83%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.48	0.48	0.16	0.34	0.02	17	74%	0.55	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.14	0.11	26	65%	0.62	4	-0.41	14	100%	0.15
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	71%	0.26	5	-0.20	8	62%	-0.05
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	14	46%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	25.7	16.0	29.4	2.8	44.6	149.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.6%

NYK +8.9%

NYK +25.9%

IND -27.7%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.5	14.5	119.4	124.7	113.9
season	13.8	15.6		120.0	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.0	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	13.0	14.8	14.1	14.1
NYK	15.0	17.8	15.2	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	48	44	0.50	-1.00	1.49	0.23	9	-13	22	14.2	13.9	0.27	15.7	15.3	0.42
Ben Sheppard	37	36	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.04	13	-17	30	13.6	14.3	-0.72	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Obi Toppin	39	41	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.06	4	-8	12	14.4	13.8	0.56	15.1	15.7	-0.57
Isaiah Jackson	26	25	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-9	14	15.7	13.5	2.15	15.5	15.5	0.01
Pascal Siakam	78	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	0	-4	13.8	15.2	-1.48	14.8	17.9	-3.15
Myles Turner	70	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.51	-6	2	-8	13.8	14.8	-1.05	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	72	72	-0.79	0.28	-1.07	-0.43	-12	8	-20	13.8	14.9	-1.16	16.0	14.0	1.99
Andrew Nembhard	58	58	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.49	-13	9	-22	14.2	13.8	0.37	15.7	15.2	0.54
Aaron Nesmith	62	62	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.42	-16	12	-28	14.3	13.7	0.60	15.8	14.9	0.83

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	86	87	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.45	12	-8	20	15.8	13.1	2.69	13.9	15.7	-1.87
Donte DiVincenzo	88	89	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-6	16	15.5	14.9	0.65	14.1	13.8	0.32
Isaiah Hartenstein	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-5	14	16.6	12.5	4.10	14.5	13.1	1.37
Josh Hart	97	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.5	0.0	15.47	14.1	0.0	14.07
Jalen Brunson	85	88	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-8	20	15.8	13.4	2.35	14.5	10.7	3.75
Precious Achiuwa	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	14.9	15.5	-0.65	13.8	14.1	-0.32
Miles McBride	24	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.23	-13	17	-30	12.9	16.3	-3.45	12.5	14.5	-2.02
Mitchell Robinson	26	27	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	12	-20	12.8	16.4	-3.59	13.8	14.2	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.39,0.31,0.63,0.57,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	91.2%
WAS 112, MIA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.34,0.58,1	91.1%
NYK 84, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,1	90.8%