NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	9.7 [92]		MVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): +36.7%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	5.5 [397]		LVP	Adrian Griffin (CHI): -28.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Sweetney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	6	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.00	10	64%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.05
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.01	16	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Vin Baker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	11	35%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	5	25%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-0.01	24	46%	-0.18	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.37	0.37	-0.01	0.38	-0.00	15	55%	0.46	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	0.02	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	5	60%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.02,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.16	-0.01	14	48%	-0.12	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.28	-0.28	-0.03	-0.25	0.00	0	0%	-0.28	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.28

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.2	15.6	22.5	2.4	36.2	132.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +93.0%

NYK -25.5%

CHI +15.6%

NYK -28.7%

NYK -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.4	15.5	91.3	91.5	104.0
season	15.8	15.1		103.9	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		98.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	16.3	15.9	18.9	16.6
CHI	14.0	15.0	15.4	13.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	35	36	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.13	12	-14	26	17.0	16.3	0.68	15.6	13.7	1.98
Vin Baker	17	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-3	4	18.8	16.1	2.76	13.1	14.7	-1.68
Allan Houston	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	4	-10	15.8	17.9	-2.13	14.7	13.9	0.79
Trevor Ariza	70	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.51	10	-12	22	16.9	15.6	1.29	14.5	14.1	0.42
Jerome Williams	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	10	-22	16.5	16.6	-0.16	14.3	14.5	-0.12
Moochie Norris	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-6	10	18.7	15.1	3.56	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Stephon Marbury	88	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.2	25.0	-8.81	14.3	17.5	-3.22
Kurt Thomas	83	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	16.1	20.6	-4.41	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Nazr Mohammed	41	42	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.53	-13	11	-24	15.7	17.3	-1.57	14.0	14.7	-0.71

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	45	42	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.56	3	-1	4	13.6	15.2	-1.65	17.7	15.7	2.01
Kirk Hinrich	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-6	14	14.5	13.9	0.57	16.4	17.3	-0.83
Tyson Chandler	57	56	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-2	6	13.5	15.8	-2.26	17.9	14.6	3.27
Adrian Griffin	15	13	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.53	0	2	-2	10.7	15.1	-4.46	14.7	16.9	-2.19
Eddy Curry	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	1	0	15.0	13.1	1.86	15.7	18.7	-2.95
Othella Harrington	25	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	3	-4	13.5	14.7	-1.22	18.9	15.7	3.17
Chris Duhon	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-1	4	14.2	14.5	-0.31	16.9	16.4	0.47
Antonio Davis	40	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	15.3	13.7	1.58	14.7	17.9	-3.27
Ben Gordon	41	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	14.3	14.5	-0.26	17.6	15.7	1.97
Jannero Pargo	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	6	-10	13.4	14.5	-1.07	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Luol Deng	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	1	0	15.6	13.5	2.12	15.5	17.5	-2.07
Eric Piatkowski	18	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	6	-10	17.7	13.6	4.02	16.2	16.7	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, UTA 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	91.9%
MIL 105, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.67,0.58,1	91.5%
WAS 112, MIA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.34,0.58,1	91.4%