NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	8.6 [180]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +26.7%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	4.9 [389]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -24.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	10	62%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.01	14	62%	0.30	3	-0.13	14	79%	0.05
Kobe Bryant	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	18	59%	0.09	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	100%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Andrew Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.16	-0.01	13	69%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	-0.00	4	93%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.06	0.06	26	53%	0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.25,0.03,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.11	0.00	13	47%	0.20	3	-0.14	6	67%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.04	-0.20	0.00	9	50%	-0.07	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	32.2	15.7	31.0	2.5	32.5	139.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.5%

LAL -20.0%

UTA +45.1%

LAL -12.9%

LAL -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.4	113.7	120.0	104.5
season	15.3	15.9		106.3	107.4
opponent	15.0	14.9		104.9	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	16.7	15.8	18.1	16.0
UTA	14.5	13.3	14.8	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	21	23	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.01	9	-15	24	16.3	15.9	0.37	15.1	14.1	1.02
Sasha Vujacic	21	19	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-10	14	13.9	16.6	-2.69	12.6	14.7	-2.11
Ronny Turiaf	6	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	14.0	16.1	-2.13	11.0	14.5	-3.46
Vladimir Radmanovic	37	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-8	10	15.2	16.5	-1.33	14.6	14.1	0.55
Andrew Bynum	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	4	-14	14.9	16.5	-1.66	14.1	14.4	-0.36
Kwame Brown	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-10	14	16.9	14.3	2.65	14.8	13.3	1.52
Lamar Odom	77	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-3	0	16.0	15.9	0.14	14.2	14.9	-0.76
Smush Parker	74	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	4	-14	16.6	13.9	2.69	14.7	12.6	2.11
Kobe Bryant	83	81	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	6	-18	15.6	18.8	-3.24	14.0	15.9	-1.81
Luke Walton	64	64	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	9	-24	16.7	14.5	2.15	14.2	14.6	-0.44

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	76	76	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-8	22	14.3	14.2	0.13	15.5	18.1	-2.63
Mehmet Okur	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-3	12	14.4	13.9	0.53	16.1	15.4	0.70
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-4	14	13.9	14.9	-0.96	16.5	15.2	1.32
Matt Harpring	63	61	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	2	2	14.5	14.0	0.43	16.1	15.7	0.41
Deron Williams	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-1	8	14.6	13.6	1.05	16.9	14.0	2.92
Gordan Giricek	34	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	5	-4	13.4	14.8	-1.36	17.1	15.4	1.74
Derek Fisher	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	13.6	14.6	-1.05	14.0	16.9	-2.92
CJ Miles	2	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	14.0	14.3	-0.32	9.7	16.3	-6.52
Ronnie Brewer	34	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	6	-6	15.6	13.6	1.98	14.5	16.9	-2.38
Jarron Collins	21	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	9	-12	13.9	14.4	-0.53	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Paul Millsap	19	19	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.02	-8	14	-22	14.2	14.3	-0.13	18.1	15.5	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.73,1	92.5%
NYK 84, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,1	91.9%
LAC 103, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.95,1	91.8%