NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	8.9 [148]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +18.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	2.3 [798]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -16.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	11	65%	0.20	1	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07
Eric Piatkowski	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Melvin Ely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	71%	0.16	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.05
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	20	52%	-0.00	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	15	52%	0.02	4	-0.19	10	90%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.00	10	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.00	15	66%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	14	65%	0.13	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	43%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	31.4	17.7	29.2	2.5	46.4	155.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -3.5%

LAC -3.4%

POR +35.4%

POR +22.2%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.5	112.0	119.8	101.6
season	15.4	16.0		100.2	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.7	16.0	17.9	13.3	16.3
POR	15.6	15.3	14.9	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	10	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-7	8	15.6	16.4	-0.78	12.7	15.4	-2.66
Eric Piatkowski	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-5	4	14.4	17.3	-2.89	13.9	15.8	-1.88
Marko Jaric	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.8	16.4	-0.61	12.8	15.6	-2.72
Melvin Ely	23	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-13	20	15.7	16.5	-0.74	16.3	14.7	1.64
Wang Zhi-zhi	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	15.1	16.5	-1.37	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Sean Rooks	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	1	-8	18.9	14.6	4.26	15.9	14.7	1.25
Cherokee Parks	58	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-8	10	16.9	15.3	1.54	15.6	14.5	1.13
Corey Maggette	55	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	16.0	16.7	-0.68	15.8	14.3	1.48
Andre Miller	87	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	16.4	14.4	2.00	15.4	12.0	3.40
Quentin Richardson	56	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	2	-10	15.3	17.8	-2.44	14.3	16.5	-2.17
Lamar Odom	79	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	1	-8	16.7	13.8	2.94	15.3	14.5	0.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	64	65	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.31	16	-10	26	15.9	13.4	2.57	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Scottie Pippen	64	65	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.25	16	-10	26	15.0	15.7	-0.75	17.1	14.3	2.83
Ruben Patterson	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	5	-4	14.6	16.1	-1.53	15.3	17.8	-2.58
Derek Anderson	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	9	-12	15.7	14.2	1.44	16.3	16.4	-0.09
Zach Randolph	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.29	-2	8	-10	15.8	13.9	1.93	17.1	14.8	2.22
Antonio Daniels	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-4	14	13.6	16.4	-2.81	15.5	16.9	-1.37
Dale Davis	49	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	3	0	15.3	15.0	0.24	18.5	13.5	5.02
Arvydas Sabonis	28	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.02	-1	7	-8	15.1	15.2	-0.05	13.4	17.4	-4.00
Jeff McInnis	35	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	16	-26	14.9	15.4	-0.52	15.1	17.0	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.16,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	91.9%
SEA 93, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	91.9%
POR 83, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.99,1	91.8%