NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	7.4 [315]		MVP	Dennis Scott (PHX): +12.0%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	5.0 [414]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -19.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Crotty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.06	-0.08	0.02	16	64%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.07,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	20	55%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	14	37%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.01	-0.12	0.03	13	55%	-0.02	2	-0.14	3	67%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	4	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	7	69%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	17	59%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	46%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	13	46%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	44%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.01	11	39%	-0.08	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.7	26.2	15.5	23.4	2.3	36.3	127.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.5%

PHX +18.8%

POR -17.2%

PHX +6.3%

PHX +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.4	15.2	15.6	94.3	101.1	102.5
season	15.9	15.0		101.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.4		100.0	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	16.4	19.8	17.8	17.4
PHX	17.0	16.4	14.5	13.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	38	36	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-14	21	16.4	18.1	-1.65	16.3	14.4	1.91
Walt Williams	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	15.2	17.7	-2.57	18.8	14.6	4.24
Jermaine O'Neal	26	27	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-5	3	18.0	17.1	0.93	16.0	14.8	1.19
Alton Lister	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-6	5	20.7	17.0	3.65	12.8	15.4	-2.66
Brian Grant	56	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-10	13	16.3	19.3	-2.98	16.3	13.0	3.32
John Crotty	4	4	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	22.2	17.2	5.10	13.2	15.3	-2.01
Damon Stoudamire	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-6	5	17.2	18.3	-1.07	14.9	16.4	-1.41
Stacey Augmon	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	5	-17	18.4	16.6	1.80	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Rasheed Wallace	79	80	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	17.5	16.2	1.30	14.9	17.9	-3.03
Gary Grant	33	34	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	4	-15	17.5	17.3	0.11	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Isaiah Rider	72	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	3	-13	17.6	16.2	1.39	14.4	18.4	-4.01

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	58	56	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-3	13	14.9	15.6	-0.73	16.7	18.5	-1.80
Dennis Scott	37	37	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.15	16	-9	25	14.4	15.7	-1.31	17.6	17.3	0.31
Danny Manning	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	4	-1	14.7	16.2	-1.47	17.3	17.5	-0.11
Antonio McDyess	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	4	-1	14.8	16.9	-2.08	17.7	16.1	1.62
Rex Chapman	56	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	5	-3	15.4	14.8	0.51	17.8	16.6	1.14
Jason Kidd	74	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	1	5	15.1	15.3	-0.12	17.5	16.7	0.79
Clifford Robinson	48	48	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	16.1	14.0	2.08	15.6	19.5	-3.87
Mark Bryant	40	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	6	-5	15.8	14.6	1.19	18.5	16.5	1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	93.0%
ATL 104, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.94,1,1	92.9%
LAC 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.97,1	92.1%