NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	98		Excitement	6.9 [470]		MVP	Joe Johnson (UTA): +42.8%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	6.2 [301]		LVP	JJ Redick (LAC): -12.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	5	85%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.19	-0.02	0.02	13	89%	0.28	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	21	54%	0.14	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	8	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Marreese Speights	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
JJ Redick	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.19	0.23	-0.01	17	78%	0.46	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	16	50%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	94%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.05	0.02	6	67%	0.13	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	11	48%	0.03	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	33.2	17.3	25.5	3.5	34.2	141.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +83.4%

LAC -20.5%

UTA +1.4%

LAC -14.3%

UTA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.0	14.8	107.7	115.4	107.7
season	15.0	16.1		110.8	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.7	16.3	16.1	16.4	15.6
UTA	17.6	13.0	16.6	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	44	41	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-9	11	14.5	16.7	-2.16	15.0	16.8	-1.84
Paul Pierce	23	23	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.07	7	-14	21	15.0	15.8	-0.79	17.2	15.6	1.56
Wesley Johnson	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-5	3	13.7	15.8	-2.07	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Raymond Felton	42	42	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.15	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.3	0.72	13.9	17.8	-3.96
Jamal Crawford	58	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-8	9	15.7	15.5	0.29	16.9	14.3	2.66
Chris Paul	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	-2	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.35	16.6	13.7	2.90
JJ Redick	78	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	4	-15	16.0	13.3	2.72	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	65	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	4	-15	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.6	16.9	-1.25
DeAndre Jordan	67	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.41	-11	4	-15	16.0	14.6	1.43	16.5	14.7	1.82

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	45	44	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.44	12	-5	17	16.3	15.7	0.64	16.2	15.1	1.10
George Hill	76	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-7	21	16.4	13.9	2.49	15.7	15.2	0.50
Joe Ingles	72	71	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.30	13	-6	19	15.7	17.0	-1.25	15.8	14.9	0.95
Joe Johnson	65	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	1	5	16.0	16.0	-0.04	16.8	13.2	3.52
Rodney Hood	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	8	-9	16.7	14.3	2.39	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Boris Diaw	20	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	3	1	15.7	16.1	-0.40	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Shelvin Mack	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	13.3	16.3	-2.97	15.8	15.6	0.18
Gordon Hayward	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	14.9	16.3	-1.36	13.3	16.3	-2.93
Dante Exum	21	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	6	-5	17.3	15.6	1.72	16.2	15.5	0.72
Raul Neto	15	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	14	-21	13.9	16.4	-2.49	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Rudy Gobert	46	48	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.14	-5	12	-17	15.7	16.3	-0.64	14.8	16.6	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.9,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.94,1,1	92.6%
POR 83, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.99,1	92.1%
MIA 96, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.62,0.93,0.9,0.99,1	91.7%