NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	126		Excitement	5.4 [750]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (DAL): +26.6%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.2 [331]		LVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): -5.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.27	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.09	-0.02	22	61%	0.27	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Maxi Kleber	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	7	106%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	7	88%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Reggie Bullock	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	6	80%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	21	41%	0.09	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Sterling Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.06	0.04	21	59%	0.20	2	-0.08	12	92%	0.04
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	6	100%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	86%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.05	0.03	12	86%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	0.02	14	58%	0.12	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	36.3	15.8	35.0	3.0	36.2	157.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.0%

UTA -5.1%

DAL +11.3%

DAL +13.5%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	13.2	14.5	132.6	122.9	110.8
season	15.6	14.8		112.4	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.8	16.5	18.2	16.3	16.9
UTA	15.3	14.1	11.4	12.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	0	8	17.4	14.2	3.18	13.0	14.7	-1.68
Dorian Finney-Smith	92	92	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-4	16	17.2	7.7	9.56	13.4	9.2	4.17
Maxi Kleber	41	43	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	17.9	16.2	1.72	13.6	12.9	0.68
Reggie Bullock	90	91	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	6	-4	16.6	22.4	-5.78	12.8	22.2	-9.44
Jalen Brunson	66	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	9	-10	17.9	14.7	3.17	13.2	13.4	-0.15
Josh Green	36	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.05	10	-2	12	15.9	17.5	-1.63	15.1	12.1	2.94
Davis Bertans	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	2	4	15.0	17.8	-2.82	13.1	13.3	-0.22
Trey Burke	9	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	3	2	13.6	17.3	-3.72	15.7	13.0	2.73
Sterling Brown	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	3.3	17.4	-14.04	5.0	13.5	-8.52
Dwight Powell	27	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	19	-30	17.8	16.6	1.19	12.5	13.6	-1.07

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	21	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-17	26	12.2	13.5	-1.36	18.0	16.6	1.38
Hassan Whiteside	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	13.6	13.2	0.38	19.3	16.6	2.76
Danuel House Jr.	39	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-5	2	14.3	12.5	1.74	16.6	17.2	-0.59
Jordan Clarkson	62	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-8	8	12.2	15.1	-2.89	17.2	16.5	0.65
Juancho Hernangomez	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	0	-8	16.5	12.8	3.62	18.2	16.8	1.42
Bojan Bogdanovic	63	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.29	4	-12	16	13.0	13.7	-0.73	17.3	16.2	1.09
Donovan Mitchell	78	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-12	16	12.7	15.4	-2.70	16.9	17.1	-0.16
Rudy Gobert	58	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	8	-24	14.2	11.7	2.50	16.9	17.0	-0.17
Royce O'Neale	64	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	5	-18	12.9	14.0	-1.17	16.4	18.1	-1.69
Mike Conley	72	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	8	-24	13.7	12.0	1.61	16.2	19.1	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.0%
IND 94, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,0	94.0%
IND 102, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0	93.8%