NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	4.7 [872]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +11.7%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.0 [590]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -16.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Fred Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	13	51%	-0.00	5	-0.10	11	82%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	19	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	19	37%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	0.03	17	45%	-0.05	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	27.2	0.2	25.2	2.7	43.1	128.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +21.2%

IND +22.7%

IND +8.9%

TOR -3.6%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	17.0	15.7	106.8	102.3	100.5
season	16.7	16.8		101.1	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.7		98.4	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	17.8	16.9	15.5	15.8
TOR	18.1	18.2	15.9	15.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	60	60	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-7	18	15.7	15.9	-0.14	17.4	16.0	1.47
Reggie Miller	50	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-5	14	15.8	15.7	0.18	17.6	16.2	1.38
Jermaine O'Neal	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-2	8	15.7	16.1	-0.37	16.9	17.4	-0.52
Jeff Foster	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-5	14	15.4	16.4	-0.92	16.9	17.1	-0.20
Metta World Peace	70	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-3	10	15.4	17.3	-1.91	17.3	15.7	1.63
Al Harrington	47	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	5	-6	16.4	15.0	1.43	16.9	17.0	-0.11
Fred Jones	29	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	10	-16	15.8	15.8	-0.00	16.2	17.3	-1.08
Kenny Anderson	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	11	-18	15.9	15.7	0.14	16.0	17.4	-1.47
Austin Croshere	22	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	12	-20	16.4	15.5	0.86	16.0	17.3	-1.29

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	20.2	16.8	3.43	20.0	15.5	4.55
Robert Archibald	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.04	-5	1	-6	15.5	17.1	-1.57	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Michael Curry	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-8	12	17.4	16.7	0.71	16.5	15.2	1.30
Donyell Marshall	75	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.44	11	-15	26	16.9	17.6	-0.76	16.1	13.7	2.43
Corie Blount	25	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	4	-12	17.6	16.7	0.94	15.8	15.7	0.07
Morris Peterson	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	0	-4	16.1	19.1	-3.01	14.6	18.6	-4.02
Jalen Rose	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-3	2	16.3	20.1	-3.82	15.1	18.9	-3.82
Milt Palacio	26	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	3	-10	18.2	16.4	1.80	18.3	14.7	3.57
Vince Carter	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	1	-6	17.6	15.6	1.94	15.8	15.7	0.12
Chris Bosh	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	17.0	16.9	0.03	15.5	16.7	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 117, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CLE 90, NJN 77	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
NYK 98, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.11,0.17,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%