NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	3.9 [1006]		MVP	Khalid Reeves (NJN): +8.4%
New Jersey Nets	77		Comeback	1.1 [563]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -19.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	-0.01	-0.04	9	76%	0.10	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	19	57%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Bob Sura	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Geary	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.03	0.07	7	113%	0.18	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	-0.07	15	52%	0.03	5	-0.04	12	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Robert Pack	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.22	-0.03	-0.06	9	31%	-0.09	5	-0.10	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.6	25.4	15.7	26.7	2.0	28.2	128.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.6%

CLE +12.0%

CLE +9.7%

CLE +12.5%

NJN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	18.4	15.3	15.6	105.9	89.5	104.4
season	17.8	15.4		102.1	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.1		106.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.2	16.6	19.2	18.9	18.4
NJN	12.1	14.1	16.8	19.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	66	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-6	25	17.9	20.3	-2.42	15.9	12.8	3.08
Tyrone Hill	65	66	0.57	-0.08	0.65	-0.02	20	-7	27	18.4	18.4	-0.02	15.7	13.7	2.04
Danny Ferry	59	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-5	23	17.6	20.4	-2.81	16.2	13.4	2.83
Chris Mills	71	69	0.47	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	0	13	18.5	18.4	0.09	15.3	14.9	0.41
Terrell Brandon	65	65	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.00	15	-2	17	18.4	18.4	-0.02	15.4	14.8	0.67
Mark West	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	10	-7	20.0	17.9	2.15	12.5	16.3	-3.81
Reggie Geary	20	21	0.05	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	15	-17	18.4	18.4	0.02	14.8	15.4	-0.67
Antonio Lang	16	18	-0.03	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	20	-27	18.2	18.5	-0.23	13.8	15.7	-1.88
Donny Marshall	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.08	-4	17	-21	20.3	17.9	2.42	14.2	15.6	-1.42
Carl Thomas	2	2	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	16	-19	22.0	18.3	3.65	11.0	15.4	-4.37
Vitaly Potapenko	19	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	20	-27	18.9	18.3	0.66	14.6	15.5	-0.86

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	10	10	-0.03	-0.46	0.43	-0.03	0	-13	13	12.1	15.7	-3.58	17.1	18.6	-1.51
Vincent Askew	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-13	13	13.8	15.5	-1.67	17.7	18.6	-0.89
Kerry Kittles	39	39	-0.14	-0.35	0.20	-0.20	2	-15	17	15.8	14.8	1.06	19.1	17.9	1.23
Khalid Reeves	50	48	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-16	19	16.1	14.1	1.99	17.5	19.7	-2.24
Xavier McDaniel	33	33	-0.16	-0.33	0.17	-0.19	1	-14	15	15.5	15.1	0.40	19.2	18.0	1.17
Shawn Bradley	65	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-7	1	15.3	15.1	0.23	18.1	19.3	-1.13
Ed O'Bannon	40	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	3	-19	14.4	16.0	-1.53	19.3	17.7	1.61
Kendall Gill	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-3	-7	15.7	12.6	3.12	18.6	17.6	0.97
Robert Pack	50	50	-0.43	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	5	-23	14.7	16.0	-1.31	18.0	19.0	-1.01
Jayson Williams	57	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.05	-21	8	-29	15.3	15.3	-0.01	18.7	17.9	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,0	95.1%
CHA 108, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.7%
DAL 99, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%