NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	3.3 [1125]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +15.2%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.0 [1163]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -16.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.00	0.00	23	68%	0.19	4	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.05	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	15	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	0.09	7	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.09	18	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	22	38%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-0.00	13	23%	-0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	31.9	17.5	25.3	2.4	28.4	132.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.3%

NYK -0.6%

NYK -4.9%

DAL +13.9%

NYK -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.7	17.2	15.4	120.7	107.2	105.7
season	16.1	15.7		108.9	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	17.4	17.9	18.9	17.7
NYK	18.6	16.9	18.1	15.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	71	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-4	18	17.9	16.2	1.73	17.8	13.7	4.04
Dirk Nowitzki	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-4	18	17.5	18.6	-1.16	17.2	17.5	-0.33
Jason Terry	57	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	3	4	17.8	17.4	0.35	17.4	16.8	0.62
Devin Harris	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	0	10	16.8	19.8	-2.99	17.1	17.6	-0.56
Erick Dampier	44	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	4	2	17.5	17.9	-0.35	17.4	17.0	0.36
Jerry Stackhouse	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	15	-20	18.1	16.9	1.15	16.4	18.7	-2.25
Brandon Bass	22	22	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	10	-10	18.7	17.3	1.37	17.0	17.3	-0.37
DeSagana Diop	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	9	-8	17.9	17.6	0.31	18.0	16.9	1.09
Devean George	10	10	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	17.8	17.7	0.13	15.9	17.4	-1.51

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	16.9	17.3	-0.43	18.4	17.5	0.90
Nate Robinson	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-7	4	15.4	17.5	-2.15	18.8	17.5	1.35
Renaldo Balkman	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	17.1	17.2	-0.10	18.1	17.6	0.47
David Lee	49	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-14	18	16.6	18.1	-1.46	18.2	16.9	1.27
Zach Randolph	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	17.4	16.8	0.56	17.3	18.6	-1.33
Eddy Curry	53	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	18.0	15.8	2.19	17.7	17.6	0.08
Fred Jones	72	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	17.5	15.4	2.15	17.5	18.8	-1.35
Quentin Richardson	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	4	-18	17.0	17.7	-0.65	17.6	18.0	-0.45
Jamal Crawford	81	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	17.2	19.0	-1.81	17.5	25.0	-7.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 112, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	96.4%
NYK 103, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
WAS 113, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	96.2%