inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 120 Excitement5.8 [579] MVPBryn Forbes (MIL): +23.8%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback4.1 [461] LVPJrue Holiday (MIL): -9.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryn Forbes0.240,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.180.03-0.031571%0.2400.001100%0.01
Brook Lopez0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.150.030.041576%0.192-0.053100%0.02
Bobby Portis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.011065%0.0800.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.011656%0.113-0.064100%0.03
Jeff Teague0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Sam Merrill0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Axel Toupane0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elijah Bryant0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mamadi Diakite0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Jackson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Tucker-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.020.031848%0.012-0.04667%-0.01
Pat Connaughton-0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.011239%-0.013-0.08475%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.01-0.011556%0.0700.002100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.020.01869%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00580%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011759%0.084-0.0600%0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.02-0.031350%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.04-0.011246%0.062-0.05450%-0.03
Gabe Vincent00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Max Strus00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
KZ Okpala00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01450%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021535%-0.0400.004100%0.02
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.43.329.516.328.73.429.6138.2
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +20.8%
MIL +5.0%
MIL +27.2%
MIA -3.1%
MIL +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game14.114.314.4117.6102.0111.3
season13.514.6114.8109.3
opponent14.914.7110.4109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL16.011.812.317.414.1
MIA12.813.114.417.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brook Lopez58580.57-0.070.63-0.0822-52714.313.80.5714.713.71.09
Khris Middleton78770.57-0.070.630.071701714.413.01.4414.413.80.64
Giannis Antetokounmpo75760.480.020.45-0.1421-42514.612.62.0514.613.41.11
Bryn Forbes54560.370.130.24-0.2521-42513.115.2-2.1814.913.51.34
P.J. Tucker54530.250.250.000.11512-713.015.3-2.3314.314.3-0.03
Pat Connaughton48470.170.33-0.160.11215-1314.114.10.0913.515.0-1.51
Jrue Holiday81790.150.35-0.20-0.14107313.914.9-0.9614.513.60.82
Jeff Teague10120.010.49-0.470.01017-1715.513.91.5511.914.6-2.68
Sam Merrill210.000.50-0.500.06-219-2120.014.06.0211.014.3-3.31
Axel Toupane210.000.50-0.500.06-219-2120.014.06.0211.014.3-3.31
Elijah Bryant210.000.50-0.500.06-219-2120.014.06.0211.014.3-3.31
Mamadi Diakite210.000.50-0.500.06-219-2120.014.06.0211.014.3-3.31
Justin Jackson210.000.50-0.500.06-219-2120.014.06.0211.014.3-3.31
Bobby Portis4242-0.070.57-0.630.02-320-2313.514.5-1.0613.714.7-0.96

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dewayne Dedmon25250.05-0.550.60-0.043-202313.814.4-0.6914.613.90.61
Duncan Robinson32330.00-0.500.51-0.021-181913.714.5-0.7715.413.51.87
Gabe Vincent120.00-0.500.50-0.062-192111.014.3-3.3120.014.06.02
Max Strus120.00-0.500.50-0.062-192111.014.3-3.3120.014.06.02
KZ Okpala120.00-0.500.50-0.062-192111.014.3-3.3120.014.06.02
Precious Achiuwa120.00-0.500.50-0.062-192111.014.3-3.3120.014.06.02
Andre Iguodala5454-0.06-0.440.390.09-5-12714.713.80.9614.713.41.33
Kendrick Nunn5858-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-7-314.514.00.5614.213.90.33
Tyler Herro7069-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-3-1114.114.8-0.7213.016.3-3.30
Jimmy Butler8282-0.44-0.06-0.380.09-181-1914.712.42.3513.616.3-2.74
Trevor Ariza4545-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-14-3-1113.614.8-1.2613.414.7-1.33
Bam Adebayo7575-0.550.05-0.600.10-225-2714.513.70.8413.815.0-1.18
Goran Dragic6061-0.550.05-0.60-0.14-14-3-1114.314.3-0.0314.613.31.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 124, HOU 1150.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,094.8%
ATL 97, CHA 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%
DET 93, PHI 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.2%