NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	124		Excitement	6.1 [586]		MVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): +10.6%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	3.8 [248]		LVP	Ben McLemore (HOU): -12.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	16	61%	0.17	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	14	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	25	56%	0.13	6	-0.11	5	60%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	23	64%	0.19	5	-0.10	9	56%	-0.04
Michael Frazier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	14	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	20	59%	0.06	6	-0.10	18	89%	0.04
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	0.07	7	64%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.5	32.9	14.0	34.2	3.3	29.4	144.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.5%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +8.7%

LAL +4.9%

HOU -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.0	13.4	14.2	113.8	105.5	109.6
season	14.2	13.4		111.8	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.9	13.6	10.2	15.8	13.0
HOU	11.9	14.6	14.6	12.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.08	18	-9	27	12.6	14.0	-1.37	13.6	12.8	0.84
Danny Green	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	3	3	12.6	14.0	-1.34	13.3	13.5	-0.12
Kyle Kuzma	86	85	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	5	-1	13.0	13.2	-0.22	13.3	13.7	-0.43
JaVale McGee	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	-2	13	10.8	14.6	-3.77	14.1	12.9	1.24
LeBron James	79	78	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	7	-5	13.6	11.5	2.09	13.6	12.8	0.84
Alex Caruso	41	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.18	15	-6	21	11.9	13.7	-1.79	13.4	13.3	0.09
Dwight Howard	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.13	1	8	-7	14.1	12.1	2.00	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Troy Daniels	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	11	-13	14.2	12.6	1.55	12.2	13.8	-1.58
Avery Bradley	42	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	14	-19	13.7	12.6	1.09	12.8	13.7	-0.99
Jared Dudley	8	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	10	-11	16.5	12.8	3.73	14.7	13.3	1.41
Quinn Cook	10	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	13	-17	15.3	12.8	2.48	13.0	13.4	-0.42

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	15	14	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-12	15	12.9	13.4	-0.51	15.1	12.7	2.41
Michael Frazier	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	11.0	13.4	-2.40	9.0	13.1	-4.08
Danuel House Jr.	50	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-10	11	13.1	13.6	-0.51	13.4	12.8	0.61
Ben McLemore	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-10	11	12.6	14.1	-1.57	14.4	11.8	2.59
Tyson Chandler	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	12.7	13.6	-0.92	11.4	13.5	-2.14
Clint Capela	75	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	0	-9	14.0	12.0	1.96	12.8	13.5	-0.68
P.J. Tucker	78	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-2	-5	13.8	12.4	1.43	12.8	13.6	-0.79
Russell Westbrook	94	92	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	13.3	14.1	-0.88	13.1	12.8	0.26
Eric Gordon	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	1	-11	13.4	13.3	0.07	12.4	14.1	-1.67
James Harden	87	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	3	-15	13.5	12.7	0.81	13.0	13.0	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DET 93, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
HOU 102, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%