NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	4.8 [838]		MVP	Hakim Warrick (MIL): +16.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	72		Comeback	2.6 [298]		LVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): -15.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.01	6	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	80%	0.09	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	14	53%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Carlos Delfino	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	16	28%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	10	54%	0.12	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.05	17	54%	-0.01	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	-0.04	12	27%	-0.07	3	-0.08	6	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	27.3	14.7	24.6	1.8	29.3	126.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.1%

MIL +0.9%

MIL +16.7%

MIL +12.2%

MIN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.3	92.6	75.8	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		103.3	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.5		109.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.3	12.2	16.2	18.7	15.2
MIN	17.8	14.9	15.8	12.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	49	51	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	6	3	17.8	12.5	5.27	15.0	15.5	-0.44
Charlie Bell	54	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	6	3	17.8	11.8	5.98	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Carlos Delfino	50	49	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	16.7	13.6	3.05	16.7	13.7	2.96
Andrew Bogut	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	11	-7	17.0	13.0	3.96	15.5	15.0	0.52
Luke Ridnour	46	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	8	-1	15.4	15.1	0.35	14.2	16.1	-1.90
Dan Gadzuric	30	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	3	9	14.2	15.7	-1.57	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Brandon Jennings	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	9	-3	14.8	15.8	-0.93	15.9	14.3	1.58
Jodie Meeks	40	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	9	-3	11.8	17.8	-5.98	16.0	14.7	1.32
Ersan Ilyasova	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	5	5	12.5	16.7	-4.19	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Luc Mbah a Moute	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	14	-13	14.0	16.1	-2.03	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Roko Leni Ukic	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	12	-9	11.1	16.0	-4.89	14.6	15.4	-0.76
Kurt Thomas	10	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	18	-21	10.5	15.8	-5.30	17.1	15.0	2.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Jawai	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-17	19	21.3	14.8	6.50	12.3	15.4	-3.10
Jonny Flynn	65	63	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	15.2	15.3	-0.13	16.1	13.4	2.76
Damien Wilkins	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-11	7	16.9	14.9	2.03	12.3	15.9	-3.59
Ryan Gomes	53	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-13	11	15.2	15.3	-0.12	16.7	13.3	3.44
Wayne Ellington	30	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-7	-1	14.6	15.6	-0.99	11.8	16.7	-4.91
Brian Cardinal	9	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-11	7	13.4	15.4	-1.99	16.3	15.1	1.19
Corey Brewer	72	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-12	9	15.3	15.2	0.09	16.2	12.2	3.93
Oleksiy Pecherov	46	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	15.4	15.1	0.29	17.3	13.4	3.83
Al Jefferson	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-1	-13	15.5	14.6	0.82	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Ryan Hollins	41	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-8	1	14.0	16.2	-2.27	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Sasha Pavlovic	35	36	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	15.3	15.2	0.11	13.8	16.1	-2.32
Ramon Sessions	30	31	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	1	-17	15.3	15.2	0.13	13.4	16.1	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0	95.6%
HOU 102, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
UTA 97, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%