NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	7.0 [467]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +22.4%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.4 [878]		LVP	Chris Paul (HOU): -20.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.20	-0.01	14	56%	0.29	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Iman Shumpert	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.01	7	79%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.17	0.04	0.05	16	74%	0.23	2	-0.08	10	80%	0.02
Nene	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.00	9	72%	0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	10	30%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	14	32%	-0.09	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.00	0.16	-0.02	23	49%	0.27	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	20	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.11	-0.01	8	50%	0.16	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	54%	0.09	5	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.8	29.2	15.8	31.0	2.7	41.5	152.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +30.0%

HOU -0.6%

GSW +7.8%

GSW +18.4%

HOU -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	14.2	14.3	103.1	110.6	109.3
season	14.8	13.4		114.0	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.4		108.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	15.3	16.2	17.8	16.1
GSW	14.7	12.3	14.4	15.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-9	13	15.6	16.1	-0.52	14.6	14.2	0.47
Clint Capela	54	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-13	21	15.4	17.0	-1.68	14.9	13.3	1.60
Gerald Green	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	2	-9	17.6	16.0	1.58	11.1	14.4	-3.29
Austin Rivers	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.29	-20	15	-35	16.7	15.5	1.17	13.4	15.0	-1.63
Eric Gordon	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-10	15	15.8	17.5	-1.77	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Iman Shumpert	31	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	9	-23	17.1	15.6	1.47	13.9	14.3	-0.38
PJ Tucker	91	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-4	3	15.9	19.6	-3.69	14.2	13.6	0.62
James Harden	90	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-5	5	15.9	19.5	-3.62	14.2	13.6	0.62
Chris Paul	75	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-5	5	16.6	14.2	2.39	14.6	12.8	1.78

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	76	80	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-7	19	14.3	13.9	0.37	16.6	13.7	2.90
Klay Thompson	88	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	1	3	14.0	16.5	-2.47	16.1	15.6	0.57
Stephen Curry	85	88	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-4	13	14.3	13.1	1.19	16.1	15.6	0.52
Kevon Looney	44	46	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	14.3	14.1	0.24	14.9	17.2	-2.29
Andre Iguodala	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.43	-2	7	-9	14.8	12.9	1.85	15.6	17.2	-1.58
Shaun Livingston	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	6	-7	14.2	14.2	0.00	17.5	15.6	1.97
Jonas Jerebko	10	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	4	-3	13.0	14.3	-1.33	22.7	15.5	7.25
Kevin Durant	65	67	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	6	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.22	15.7	17.0	-1.33
Quinn Cook	1	0	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	5	-5	12.0	14.2	-2.22	0.0	16.1	-16.10
Alfonzo McKinnie	11	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	7	-9	13.6	14.3	-0.63	14.1	16.4	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	92.0%
ATL 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.76,0.96,0.96,1,1	92.0%
UTA 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	91.8%