inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 103 Excitement4.9 [867] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +25.3%
San Antonio Spurs 120 Comeback1.3 [832] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -16.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.250,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.220.090.063067%0.272-0.02475%-0.00
Paul Millsap0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.031060%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.11-0.030.06878%0.0200.002100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00262%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Trey Lyles0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Monte Morris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.02-0.091940%0.013-0.03250%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.000.02617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Will Barton-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.00714%-0.092-0.0700%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.160.090.001179%0.2400.002100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.100.091674%0.191-0.02250%-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.021862%0.1300.00683%-0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.000.00482%0.111-0.043100%0.02
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.020.03772%0.101-0.03475%-0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.01-0.00667%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.010.05875%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Quincy Pondexter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.12-0.02-0.061225%-0.062-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.23.331.315.726.63.336.3141.9
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +61.8%
SAS +4.3%
DEN -14.8%
DEN -3.2%
SAS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game16.515.314.3113.2133.3109.3
season14.814.8112.0111.7
opponent14.414.6110.4108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.816.017.516.616.5
SAS15.514.614.516.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Lyles340.00-0.500.500.000-171713.016.6-3.5915.515.30.16
Jarred Vanderbilt340.00-0.500.500.000-171713.016.6-3.5915.515.30.16
Juancho Hernangomez120.00-0.500.500.000-171716.016.5-0.4818.515.33.23
Will Barton3635-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-151316.616.40.1415.915.00.98
Nikola Jokic7170-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-6-517.114.22.9115.215.8-0.59
Jamal Murray6566-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-7-316.616.20.3915.315.6-0.33
Monte Morris2826-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.06-7-10315.916.7-0.8915.315.30.00
Mason Plumlee1716-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.09-6-11514.416.9-2.5315.915.20.65
Gary Harris6565-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-13-4-916.416.8-0.4215.215.6-0.35
Torrey Craig6262-0.31-0.19-0.130.10-14-3-1116.815.81.0015.016.2-1.26
Malik Beasley4037-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.18-6-11515.517.3-1.7816.014.91.07
Paul Millsap6463-0.37-0.13-0.250.10-16-1-1517.214.82.4115.115.9-0.78

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marco Belinelli37390.470.030.44-0.0618-11915.515.20.2915.817.0-1.23
Jakob Poeltl53540.420.080.34-0.081701715.115.7-0.6117.515.02.44
Derrick White49510.400.100.29-0.101701716.014.51.5317.714.92.81
Rudy Gay52540.370.130.250.1198115.714.90.7815.917.2-1.30
Patty Mills50480.280.230.050.16413-914.816.0-1.2215.817.2-1.40
LaMarcus Aldridge70710.270.230.04-0.08125715.514.70.8316.217.4-1.19
DeMar DeRozan68700.240.26-0.010.10512-714.717.3-2.5516.616.10.43
Bryn Forbes57570.050.45-0.40-0.04314-1115.614.80.7816.915.81.13
Quincy Pondexter220.000.50-0.500.00017-1712.515.4-2.9111.516.6-5.08
Lonnie Walker IV430.000.50-0.500.00017-1715.515.30.1613.016.6-3.59
Donatas Motiejunas430.000.50-0.500.00017-1715.515.30.1613.016.6-3.59
Dante Cunningham430.000.50-0.500.00017-1715.515.30.1613.016.6-3.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 84, IND 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%
MIL 88, LAL 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
DET 74, NJN 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%