NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	5.4 [712]		MVP	Dwight Howard (LAL): +20.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.3 [1053]		LVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): -13.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	14	39%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	16	41%	-0.04	3	-0.09	9	33%	-0.09

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.02	-0.00	18	70%	0.25	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.05	0.08	19	74%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	10	36%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	24.6	16.4	29.5	2.5	24.6	126.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +52.0%

MIL -0.3%

MIL -18.8%

LAL +9.1%

LAL +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	15.4	94.6	113.0	104.1
season	14.7	14.9		101.6	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.7	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	19.2	14.0	15.8	16.0
LAL	14.4	14.2	14.3	17.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	21	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-22	28	15.4	16.2	-0.78	16.0	14.8	1.22
Tobias Harris	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	18.8	15.8	2.99	19.8	14.8	5.07
Marquis Daniels	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-15	14	18.6	15.1	3.44	15.2	15.1	0.15
Larry Sanders	48	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-15	14	15.8	16.3	-0.50	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Samuel Dalembert	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-9	2	17.0	15.7	1.27	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Mike Dunleavy	45	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-17	18	16.1	15.9	0.20	15.3	14.9	0.42
Monta Ellis	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-8	0	14.9	18.3	-3.40	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Beno Udrih	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-10	4	16.6	15.4	1.14	16.5	13.6	2.89
Ersan Ilyasova	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.18	-17	1	-18	15.5	16.5	-1.01	14.2	15.9	-1.71
John Henson	31	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-10	4	17.3	15.4	1.94	17.3	14.1	3.15
Brandon Jennings	60	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.10	-22	6	-28	15.2	17.5	-2.30	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.03	-21	5	-26	15.9	16.1	-0.20	14.2	16.3	-2.11

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.14	26	-10	36	14.8	15.7	-0.91	16.3	15.4	0.95
Dwight Howard	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.11	24	-8	32	14.7	17.4	-2.66	16.3	14.4	1.89
Kobe Bryant	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.21	23	-7	30	14.2	18.1	-3.88	16.5	14.3	2.14
Steve Nash	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	-1	18	14.2	17.1	-2.94	16.4	15.1	1.32
Antawn Jamison	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	16	-16	15.2	14.9	0.34	16.2	15.8	0.32
Darius Morris	37	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	21	-26	16.8	14.0	2.77	14.7	16.8	-2.09
Chris Duhon	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	17	-18	17.1	14.2	2.94	15.1	16.4	-1.32
Jodie Meeks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	15.0	15.1	-0.10	24.0	15.9	8.14
Earl Clark	46	48	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	12	-8	15.3	14.8	0.50	15.4	16.7	-1.27
Robert Sacre	13	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	24	-32	17.4	14.7	2.66	14.4	16.3	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DET 97, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%