NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	5.1 [831]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +16.2%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.1 [1187]		LVP	John Salmons (MIL): -15.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.04	10	75%	0.20	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	20	55%	0.12	3	-0.09	9	78%	-0.02
Jon Brockman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	36%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Larry Sanders	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	11	23%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.07	0.03	14	79%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.17	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.04	-0.06	9	30%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	9	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	14	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	28.2	15.7	26.3	1.5	29.3	128.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.9%

MIL -9.3%

UTA +32.3%

MIL -19.3%

UTA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.5	93.6	118.5	105.7
season	16.2	15.9		100.1	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	16.4	12.8	16.4	14.9
UTA	15.6	15.6	16.7	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	38	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	-17	13	14.7	15.1	-0.41	16.3	15.9	0.33
Chris Douglas-Roberts	65	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-19	17	14.4	16.0	-1.60	17.0	13.8	3.21
Larry Sanders	33	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-12	3	14.9	15.0	-0.07	15.5	16.4	-0.92
John Salmons	59	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-12	3	15.3	14.4	0.88	16.1	16.0	0.04
Keyon Dooling	45	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-7	-7	15.2	14.7	0.57	16.3	15.8	0.46
Brandon Jennings	66	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	-8	-5	14.0	17.0	-2.95	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Earl Boykins	21	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.04	-16	-5	-11	16.9	14.4	2.55	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Luc Mbah a Moute	63	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	-4	-13	15.4	13.9	1.48	15.6	17.0	-1.41
Ersan Ilyasova	80	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.05	-21	0	-21	14.9	15.2	-0.34	15.9	16.8	-0.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	0	21	15.7	17.5	-1.74	15.5	12.7	2.79
Al Jefferson	60	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	-1	23	16.0	16.1	-0.11	14.7	15.4	-0.78
Earl Watson	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	1	19	15.9	16.2	-0.26	15.3	14.4	0.95
Paul Millsap	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	10	1	15.8	16.4	-0.61	14.2	16.1	-1.94
Deron Williams	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	8	5	16.1	15.9	0.23	14.8	15.1	-0.21
CJ Miles	38	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	11	-1	17.2	15.2	1.97	15.1	14.8	0.21
Raja Bell	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	18	-15	16.1	16.0	0.15	13.6	16.4	-2.79
Ronnie Price	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	15	-9	16.0	16.1	-0.13	16.7	14.2	2.49
Francisco Elson	23	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	20	-19	17.1	15.7	1.38	15.5	14.7	0.72
Jeremy Evans	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	13.7	16.2	-2.41	14.7	14.9	-0.18
Gordon Hayward	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	14.7	16.2	-1.48	15.3	14.9	0.44
Kyrylo Fesenko	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	26	-31	15.2	16.2	-1.02	14.8	14.9	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 99, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	94.5%