inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 97 Excitement5.6 [672] MVPKenneth Faried (DEN): +11.2%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback1.4 [1175] LVPBrandon Knight (DET): -15.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Maxiell0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.00490%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Andre Drummond0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.003117%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.03861%0.091-0.002100%0.00
Kim English0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002150%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Greg Monroe0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.020.032057%0.112-0.057100%0.03
Kyle Singler0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.01564%0.061-0.00475%0.01
Charlie Villanueva0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.00825%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.090,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.001741%-0.032-0.05771%0.00
Will Bynum-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.01538%-0.022-0.083100%0.02
Brandon Knight-0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.14-0.02-0.01617%-0.064-0.1000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.020.001065%0.1100.00333%-0.04
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.020.031167%0.111-0.032100%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00858%0.091-0.021080%0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.031150%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.011354%0.0410.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.02553%0.032-0.02580%-0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.001553%0.064-0.082100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01831%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.031136%-0.004-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.830.316.629.02.033.2137.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +16.3%
DET -2.9%
DEN +27.1%
DEN +8.3%
DEN +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game15.015.615.4103.2116.0104.1
season15.714.4102.3108.4
opponent15.415.5104.0106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.517.514.313.015.0
DEN17.215.213.916.315.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Villanueva10-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-12123.015.1-12.140.015.6-15.63
Kyle Singler4039-0.20-0.300.11-0.14-2-10814.515.4-0.9314.716.3-1.51
Brandon Knight6564-0.20-0.300.11-0.17-1-111014.516.1-1.5316.114.51.61
Jason Maxiell4041-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-4-417.213.43.9016.115.20.92
Greg Monroe6868-0.20-0.300.10-0.17-1-111014.516.4-1.9516.413.52.89
Kim English2019-0.20-0.300.09-0.03-6-6015.115.00.1813.616.1-2.57
Andre Drummond2525-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-8-4-417.014.32.6613.216.5-3.36
Jonas Jerebko5353-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-8413.516.9-3.3615.216.1-0.92
Will Bynum2930-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-1-1016.114.51.5314.516.1-1.61
Tayshaun Prince5455-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-10-2-815.414.50.9316.314.71.51
Rodney Stuckey7576-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-9-3-614.815.8-0.9816.213.13.18

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson76770.58-0.080.66-0.0321-93015.516.0-0.4615.711.93.75
Corey Brewer41410.300.200.110.1657-215.216.0-0.8114.415.5-1.10
JaVale McGee36360.280.220.050.0193613.916.7-2.7315.514.70.79
Danilo Gallinari60610.260.240.020.1739-616.214.61.5815.214.60.58
Andre Miller54540.250.250.000.22111-1015.415.9-0.5613.617.0-3.42
Andre Iguodala71700.240.26-0.010.0766016.214.02.2114.416.7-2.22
Kenneth Faried41410.210.29-0.07-0.0284416.115.20.9216.913.53.36
Wilson Chandler34330.200.30-0.10-0.0075214.216.4-2.2314.715.2-0.48
Kosta Koufos57570.170.33-0.160.17012-1216.614.22.3714.915.2-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 79, UTA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,194.8%
CHI 99, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,194.7%
MIL 88, LAL 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%