NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Excitement	5.6 [705]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +29.0%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.1 [1020]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -21.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Robbie Hummel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.08
Dante Cunningham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	20	42%	0.02	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Jose Juan Barea	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	9	35%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.09	-0.06	12	32%	-0.05	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.10	-0.01	13	81%	0.33	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	16	72%	0.22	6	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	46%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.05	10	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	29.7	15.6	23.6	2.4	25.6	123.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +85.7%

MIN -21.2%

MIN -7.7%

IND +0.4%

MIN -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	15.1	84.0	98.0	105.2
season	14.6	15.8		107.3	102.7
opponent	15.2	14.5		99.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	14.0	14.2	13.3	14.2
IND	14.0	14.8	13.0	16.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-18	22	12.8	14.6	-1.78	15.3	14.4	0.86
Jose Juan Barea	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-10	6	15.5	13.3	2.17	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Kevin Martin	80	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	0	-14	14.3	13.8	0.44	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Kevin Love	86	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-9	4	14.1	14.7	-0.60	14.9	13.1	1.80
Nikola Pekovic	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	14.2	14.3	-0.15	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Dante Cunningham	36	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-1	-12	14.5	14.0	0.43	14.1	14.9	-0.87
Ricky Rubio	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	0	-14	14.0	14.7	-0.64	14.9	13.8	1.12
Corey Brewer	84	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	0	-14	14.0	15.1	-1.10	14.7	14.1	0.63

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	0	14	14.7	14.1	0.66	14.1	14.8	-0.77
Ian Mahinmi	44	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	14.0	15.1	-1.15	14.1	14.3	-0.15
Lance Stephenson	64	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	0	14	14.4	15.0	-0.62	13.9	14.8	-0.95
George Hill	80	80	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	8	-2	15.0	13.1	1.88	14.1	14.5	-0.44
David West	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	5	4	14.9	14.1	0.83	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Luis Scola	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	9	-4	14.1	14.9	-0.83	14.9	13.7	1.21
Orlando Johnson	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	14	-14	14.6	14.6	-0.08	14.8	13.9	0.91
CJ Watson	36	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	6	2	13.9	15.0	-1.02	14.7	13.9	0.82
Roy Hibbert	56	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	13	-12	15.1	14.0	1.15	14.3	14.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 61, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 93, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
DEN 103, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%