NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	4.8 [840]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +9.4%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.1 [820]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -18.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	13	79%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Glen Rice	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	6	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.07	0.03	21	52%	-0.06	6	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	22	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	14	71%	0.03
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.03	11	89%	0.17	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	5	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	11	42%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	31.5	20.7	29.2	3.3	46.6	160.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.9%

TOR +3.6%

TOR +15.9%

NYK -2.8%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	98.9	107.5	100.9
season	16.4	15.8		99.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	15.7	17.2	13.5	15.4
TOR	15.8	15.6	15.5	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	29	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	0	-7	15.7	15.3	0.33	15.9	15.2	0.76
Othella Harrington	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-2	-3	15.5	15.4	0.16	13.3	16.0	-2.64
Marcus Camby	61	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	16.3	13.8	2.48	15.9	14.4	1.53
Glen Rice	71	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.0	16.8	-1.85	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Mark Jackson	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-7	7	15.2	16.0	-0.74	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Kurt Thomas	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.31	-3	-4	1	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.9	14.5	1.38
Allan Houston	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.5	-0.09	15.5	14.4	1.15
Latrell Sprewell	81	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	15.3	15.9	-0.58	15.1	17.3	-2.25

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-4	15	15.1	15.7	-0.66	16.1	14.5	1.62
Antonio Davis	76	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	15.4	15.2	0.17	15.2	16.7	-1.52
Vince Carter	91	92	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	15.3	19.0	-3.70	15.4	14.5	0.95
Alvin Williams	82	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	15.4	15.3	0.12	15.3	16.5	-1.27
Dell Curry	15	14	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-4	15	13.0	15.8	-2.83	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Charles Oakley	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	15.7	14.8	0.92	15.3	15.6	-0.21
Chris Childs	76	79	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	9	-11	15.6	14.2	1.47	15.5	15.3	0.19
Keon Clark	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	5	-3	21.0	15.3	5.68	21.0	15.4	5.63
Morris Peterson	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	10	-13	16.1	15.3	0.81	15.0	15.5	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
IND 83, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
DET 85, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%