NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	61		Excitement	4.6 [904]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +9.5%
Detroit Pistons	79		Comeback	1.1 [1120]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -12.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	55%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
LeBron James	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	24	48%	-0.02	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.03
Drew Gooden	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.00	3	-0.01	8	62%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.07
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	16	32%	-0.12	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.7	39.7	18.7	29.0	2.8	36.0	156.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.4%

CLE -13.4%

DET +13.7%

DET +13.0%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	17.2	19.0	15.6	77.2	98.8	104.4
season	16.2	16.9		105.6	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.1	17.2	17.2	16.3	17.2
DET	16.1	17.1	20.7	22.8	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	18.0	17.2	0.78	22.0	18.9	3.06
Anderson Varejao	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-15	12	16.5	17.6	-1.06	21.4	17.9	3.53
Donyell Marshall	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-18	18	16.7	18.0	-1.25	19.5	18.2	1.29
Damon Jones	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-13	8	17.0	17.5	-0.46	20.5	17.1	3.44
Larry Hughes	43	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-12	6	16.9	17.7	-0.78	19.9	17.9	1.96
Ronald Murray	32	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-6	-6	17.3	17.2	0.17	17.1	20.3	-3.18
Drew Gooden	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-6	-6	18.3	16.6	1.64	18.0	19.6	-1.56
Eric Snow	41	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-1	-16	17.8	16.7	1.07	18.1	20.0	-1.96
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	-1	-16	17.4	16.7	0.71	17.8	21.8	-3.94
LeBron James	77	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	-2	-14	17.2	18.0	-0.78	19.0	19.5	-0.54

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	60	58	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.06	21	-3	24	17.3	23.9	-6.57	18.1	15.0	3.12
Ben Wallace	64	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.09	22	-4	26	17.8	23.7	-5.97	17.5	16.1	1.48
Tayshaun Prince	79	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	2	14	18.9	22.0	-3.06	17.2	18.0	-0.78
Rasheed Wallace	69	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	7	4	19.1	18.5	0.60	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Chauncey Billups	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	2	14	19.5	13.9	5.61	16.9	20.4	-3.50
Lindsey Hunter	19	21	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	10	-2	21.6	18.2	3.42	18.5	16.8	1.68
Antonio McDyess	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	17	-16	21.6	17.7	3.85	16.6	17.5	-0.93
Maurice Evans	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	22.0	18.9	3.06	18.0	17.2	0.78
Tony Delk	9	9	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	25	-32	20.8	18.7	2.03	11.7	18.0	-6.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, UTA 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 84, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
TOR 100, CLE 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%