NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	4.8 [835]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +26.3%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	1.1 [1081]		LVP	Jacque Vaughn (UTA): -13.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.06	-0.04	14	50%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	17%	-0.06
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Jelani McCoy	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.09	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	54%	-0.04	3	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.08	-0.01	12	97%	0.31	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	15	63%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.01	0.09	10	84%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	72%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	11	21%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	29.3	15.7	28.2	1.8	29.1	131.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.1%

UTA +7.0%

UTA +10.2%

UTA +13.7%

UTA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.6	15.5	100.0	122.0	100.9
season	15.2	16.0		103.8	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.0	15.6	16.0	14.6	15.1
UTA	16.7	15.0	15.3	19.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	42	43	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-24	28	15.8	14.4	1.31	14.4	18.5	-4.12
Desmond Mason	51	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-20	20	14.1	16.2	-2.13	17.5	15.5	2.06
Shammond Williams	43	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-21	22	13.8	16.1	-2.31	16.8	16.4	0.39
Vin Baker	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-10	0	14.0	17.0	-2.95	16.9	16.1	0.84
Emanual Davis	60	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.26	-18	-2	-16	16.2	12.7	3.51	16.0	17.7	-1.65
Jelani McCoy	28	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-7	-6	15.6	14.8	0.80	18.6	15.8	2.79
Patrick Ewing	43	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	-2	-16	15.8	14.4	1.35	17.6	15.6	1.98
Brent Barry	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	-4	-12	14.6	16.5	-1.85	16.4	17.3	-0.90
Rashard Lewis	53	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	0.21	-29	9	-38	15.8	14.0	1.86	16.5	16.7	-0.17

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.20	25	-5	30	17.0	15.4	1.60	15.9	12.7	3.22
Karl Malone	67	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	1	18	15.8	18.8	-3.04	15.3	14.5	0.72
Donyell Marshall	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	-2	24	15.1	20.2	-5.11	15.0	15.3	-0.29
John Stockton	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.34	21	-1	22	15.5	17.7	-2.24	15.9	14.2	1.74
John Crotty	27	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	13	-6	18.3	15.9	2.42	15.9	14.7	1.19
Greg Ostertag	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	9	2	17.4	15.7	1.61	14.4	15.8	-1.35
Olden Polynice	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	11	-2	15.7	17.4	-1.61	15.8	14.4	1.35
Danny Manning	17	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	21	-22	21.0	15.6	5.42	14.2	15.3	-1.03
Jacque Vaughn	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	27	-34	18.1	14.9	3.15	13.9	16.4	-2.50
Scott Padgett	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	15.7	16.7	-1.03	14.1	15.2	-1.05
DeShawn Stevenson	18	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	23	-26	16.0	16.7	-0.74	12.5	15.6	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 74, ORL 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NYK 92, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.55,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 61, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%