NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	74		Excitement	4.8 [860]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +14.9%
Orlando Magic	106		Comeback	1.0 [923]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -12.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	4	20%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	14	29%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.07	15	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sean May	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.09	8	17%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	35%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	41%	-0.01	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	7	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	15	67%	0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	10	76%	0.24	4	-0.11	9	56%	-0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.05	3	100%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	-0.00	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	10	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	36.3	15.7	26.6	2.4	31.5	141.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +67.9%

CHA -4.8%

CHA -1.6%

CHA -13.4%

ORL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.4	14.5	15.4	82.2	116.5	104.5
season	15.7	15.9		101.7	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.0		103.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.9	14.8	22.3	15.8	17.4
ORL	14.2	14.6	16.5	13.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	17	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.38	-13	-19	6	16.2	17.7	-1.49	11.5	15.2	-3.76
Melvin Ely	20	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.37	-13	-19	6	15.8	17.8	-1.98	12.9	15.0	-2.09
Derek Anderson	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-28	24	19.3	15.9	3.39	15.5	13.6	1.83
Jake Voskuhl	19	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-28	24	16.5	17.6	-1.09	12.9	14.8	-1.95
Primoz Brezec	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.17	-12	-20	8	18.9	16.0	2.89	16.0	13.2	2.86
Adam Morrison	60	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.42	-21	-11	-10	18.7	14.8	3.93	13.9	15.4	-1.43
Emeka Okafor	41	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-25	18	18.2	16.7	1.57	15.0	14.0	1.09
Matt Carroll	64	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.35	-25	-7	-18	15.7	21.5	-5.78	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Jeff McInnis	34	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.46	-29	-3	-26	14.9	18.9	-3.98	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Raymond Felton	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-18	4	18.0	15.7	2.23	15.5	11.5	4.06
Sean May	48	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.09	-18	-14	-4	16.7	18.2	-1.50	14.5	14.4	0.04

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	62	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.24	27	5	22	14.8	13.7	1.07	16.9	18.5	-1.56
Jameer Nelson	51	51	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.02	17	15	2	15.1	13.6	1.43	18.4	16.1	2.27
Dwight Howard	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.07	20	12	8	14.7	13.9	0.85	17.6	16.7	0.93
Tony Battie	57	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	10	12	14.6	14.3	0.30	19.5	14.1	5.31
Trevor Ariza	64	63	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.40	25	7	18	14.1	15.3	-1.26	16.7	18.9	-2.14
Keith Bogans	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	25	-18	15.2	14.1	1.10	20.4	15.6	4.74
Pat Garrity	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.52	22	10	12	14.0	14.7	-0.69	15.8	18.0	-2.22
Bo Outlaw	24	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	26	-20	14.9	14.3	0.63	14.8	18.3	-3.50
Travis Diener	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	24	-16	11.8	14.8	-2.98	14.6	17.7	-3.15
Carlos Arroyo	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.23	7	25	-18	14.3	14.5	-0.27	16.6	17.8	-1.23
JJ Redick	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.22	5	27	-22	13.6	14.7	-1.18	16.1	17.8	-1.72
Darko Milicic	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	38	-44	12.4	14.7	-2.30	14.7	17.8	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 92, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIA 79, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 92, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%