inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 92 Excitement4.4 [930] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +17.8%
San Antonio Spurs 117 Comeback1.0 [1239] LVPVoshon Lenard (DEN): -8.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.011668%0.122-0.05683%0.01
Earl Boykins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.031062%0.092-0.054100%0.02
Marcus Camby0.000,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06430%-0.0010.00250%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andre Miller-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00467%0.022-0.04757%-0.01
Rodney White-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.04953%-0.0200.0010%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01440%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Nene-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.04639%-0.022-0.05650%-0.01
Jon Barry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03325%-0.032-0.032100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.040.00847%-0.032-0.063100%0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.07-0.011966%0.232-0.05650%-0.03
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.150.000.08989%0.0700.001100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.011856%0.0700.0000%0.00
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.000.031148%-0.0300.003100%-0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.01-0.00933%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.010.041157%-0.031-0.02862%-0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02940%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.827.216.629.41.732.0133.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +15.3%
DEN -8.8%
SAS +28.3%
SAS +17.3%
DEN -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.815.515.798.9128.6100.5
season14.915.9101.6100.1
opponent15.815.492.7101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.814.414.217.715.8
SAS15.217.715.813.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Bowen890.00-0.500.500.09-3-221917.915.62.329.016.3-7.27
Nikoloz Tskitishvili1313-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-211718.215.32.8811.816.2-4.32
Jon Barry3736-0.05-0.450.400.13-6-191314.816.4-1.5617.314.42.86
Earl Boykins4948-0.05-0.450.390.21-9-16715.715.8-0.0415.715.40.34
Rodney White3333-0.10-0.400.300.28-13-12-115.915.70.2414.216.3-2.10
Michael Doleac3736-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-191314.816.4-1.6515.215.8-0.54
Nene6966-0.21-0.290.070.23-15-10-515.815.70.0016.114.21.86
Marcus Camby3737-0.23-0.270.050.01-8-17917.114.82.3016.115.10.99
Chris Andersen2627-0.37-0.13-0.230.16-18-7-1115.615.8-0.2416.415.21.27
Carmelo Anthony6864-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.05-12-13115.317.0-1.6516.014.51.52
Andre Miller4443-0.45-0.05-0.390.02-16-9-715.815.70.0415.415.7-0.34
Voshon Lenard4443-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-10-515.815.70.0415.415.7-0.34

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu55570.53-0.030.56-0.202502515.615.50.1316.714.22.45
Tony Parker59610.53-0.030.560.03178915.615.40.2215.117.1-2.00
Robert Horry36370.400.100.310.021312117.714.23.5013.817.1-3.31
Rasho Nesterovic62630.320.180.13-0.211871116.513.43.1316.514.22.29
Manu Ginobili57580.280.220.05-0.021015-516.414.12.3314.118.5-4.47
Kevin Willis29300.180.32-0.13-0.02718-1113.416.5-3.1314.216.5-2.29
Bruce Bowen49510.170.33-0.17-0.10916-716.914.02.9216.914.42.54
Malik Rose55560.100.40-0.31-0.251213-114.217.7-3.5017.113.83.31
Devin Brown12120.030.47-0.45-0.06322-1910.616.3-5.7213.116.1-3.06
Jason Hart980.000.50-0.50-0.09322-199.016.3-7.2717.915.62.32
Charlie Ward3232-0.030.53-0.56-0.27817-915.415.6-0.2217.115.12.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 74, ORL 1060.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CHI 71, SAC 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
MIL 101, DAL 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,195.3%