inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 110 Excitement7.0 [469] MVPMarcus Morris (BOS): +26.3%
Indiana Pacers 106 Comeback2.8 [549] LVPAl Horford (BOS): -19.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Morris0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.260.140.150.021175%0.2600.002100%0.02
Gordon Hayward0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.140.110.03995%0.303-0.073100%0.02
Terry Rozier0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.01679%0.142-0.07250%-0.02
Jaylen Brown0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.00965%0.101-0.03250%-0.00
Daniel Theis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum-0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.040.041056%0.084-0.101275%0.01
Aron Baynes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.021100%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kyrie Irving-0.140,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.050.011342%-0.093-0.05786%-0.00
Al Horford-0.190,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.14-0.08-0.031932%-0.122-0.07683%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.031458%0.092-0.041090%0.04
Myles Turner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.011246%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.00950%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.02964%0.072-0.07450%-0.05
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.00550%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.05-0.020.101359%-0.002-0.076100%0.03
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1-0.100.05-0.050.101852%-0.032-0.064100%0.03
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00721%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.626.315.328.42.743.0145.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +52.8%
BOS +8.6%
IND -0.5%
IND -8.6%
IND -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSINDNBABOSINDNBA
this game13.515.314.3110.0106.0109.3
season13.914.5109.9108.4
opponent14.614.7105.7106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.512.713.114.613.5
IND14.716.815.714.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordon Hayward71710.72-0.220.940.3413-92212.715.3-2.6315.714.41.32
Marcus Morris57570.68-0.180.870.1020-163614.012.71.2917.412.54.89
Al Horford67670.490.010.490.1412-82014.212.02.2115.515.00.48
Jayson Tatum77770.460.040.430.3540413.812.31.5314.617.7-3.14
Terry Rozier36340.320.180.140.069-51414.313.01.2517.614.13.53
Kyrie Irving80790.130.37-0.250.42-1014-2413.413.9-0.5914.618.2-3.63
Daniel Theis14140.090.41-0.320.29-711-1810.414.0-3.5515.315.3-0.04
Aron Baynes3939-0.120.62-0.740.03-59-1414.313.01.3114.415.9-1.58
Jaylen Brown5962-0.280.78-1.060.19-1620-3612.415.0-2.5314.017.5-3.52

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Matthews61590.05-0.550.61-0.012-6815.714.70.9413.613.30.28
Darren Collison73720.03-0.530.55-0.2710-142414.417.8-3.4212.615.6-3.00
Thaddeus Young7070-0.14-0.360.23-0.254-81215.115.9-0.8314.610.93.64
Aaron Holiday1214-0.16-0.340.190.02-62-816.115.20.8713.113.5-0.39
Myles Turner7474-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.312-6814.617.4-2.7913.114.5-1.33
Bojan Bogdanovic7979-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.340-4414.717.7-2.9713.513.50.00
Domantas Sabonis4343-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.10-106-1617.014.12.9113.613.40.14
Cory Joseph3536-0.630.13-0.75-0.30-117-1816.914.52.4513.613.40.12
Tyreke Evans5353-0.670.17-0.84-0.35-117-1815.914.71.1713.513.40.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.14,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 87, DEN 830.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.41,0.55,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,091.8%
WAS 106, ATL 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.04,0,0,0,091.6%
PHI 118, GSW 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.57,0.35,0.22,0.11,0.01,0.02,0.01,091.6%