NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	6.9 [406]		MVP	Randy Brown (BOS): +20.4%
Denver Nuggets	83		Comeback	2.2 [241]		LVP	George McCloud (DEN): -19.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Brown	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.2	0.02	0.18	-0.01	8	56%	0.20	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Bryant Stith	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	77%	0.19	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	19	55%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	15	41%	-0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	14	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	19	39%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	0.02	-0.13	0.05	14	61%	-0.12	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	12	52%	-0.07	3	-0.09	9	33%	-0.10
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	27.2	16.4	24.4	1.8	30.2	125.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +61.0%

DEN -5.3%

DEN -9.6%

DEN -0.5%

BOS +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DEN	NBA	BOS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.5	94.6	90.2	100.9
season	15.1	15.2		99.7	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		104.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	16.0	17.5	13.9	15.3
DEN	14.7	14.0	18.5	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	64	67	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-6	16	15.3	15.1	0.20	16.6	14.6	1.95
Antoine Walker	76	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-6	16	15.5	14.2	1.33	16.7	12.9	3.78
Vitaly Potapenko	61	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	15.6	14.7	0.86	16.6	14.9	1.66
Randy Brown	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-1	6	15.8	14.7	1.09	17.6	14.4	3.13
Paul Pierce	78	77	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	6	-8	15.0	17.1	-2.11	16.0	16.1	-0.13
Adrian Griffin	10	9	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	1	2	14.6	15.4	-0.77	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Milt Palacio	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	5	-6	14.7	15.8	-1.09	14.4	17.6	-3.13
Eric Williams	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	5	-6	16.8	14.3	2.47	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Mark Blount	27	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	1	2	16.0	15.0	0.96	16.2	16.0	0.23
Walter McCarty	15	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	15	-26	9.9	16.3	-6.39	9.7	17.2	-7.51

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Goldwire	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	7.0	16.1	-9.12	10.0	15.3	-5.34
Voshon Lenard	57	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-4	4	15.8	16.3	-0.47	17.2	12.5	4.72
Mark Strickland	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	15.6	16.1	-0.53	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Robert Pack	8	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	4	-12	14.4	16.2	-1.80	12.0	15.6	-3.64
James Posey	68	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.37	4	-8	12	16.0	16.2	-0.20	15.3	15.3	-0.07
Antonio McDyess	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-5	6	16.1	15.7	0.40	15.2	15.5	-0.22
Nick Van Exel	84	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-8	12	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.6	12.0	3.64
Ryan Bowen	24	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	3	-10	17.1	15.6	1.49	13.4	16.0	-2.58
Kevin Willis	77	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-3	2	15.9	16.7	-0.85	15.7	13.1	2.69
George McCloud	48	49	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	5	-14	16.2	15.8	0.39	14.0	16.7	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.41,0.55,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.14,0.02,0,0,0	91.8%
MIL 115, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.15,0.05,0,0,0	91.3%
NYK 111, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.41,0.47,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.2%