NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	7.2 [380]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (ATL): +13.5%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	2.0 [310]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): -17.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	9	58%	0.10	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	17	58%	0.07	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.02	-0.03	16	41%	0.03	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	15	51%	-0.06	4	-0.09	15	80%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.07	-0.06	6	60%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	2	67%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	0.03	15	58%	-0.07	2	-0.01	13	92%	0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	15	57%	0.09	5	-0.19	5	100%	0.04
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	9	37%	-0.09	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	7	31%	-0.10	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	31.4	15.5	25.6	2.5	41.5	142.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +3.4%

WAS +3.7%

WAS +16.8%

WAS +24.1%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	15.7	106.0	98.0	100.5
season	15.2	15.3		96.4	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.0	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	14.5	16.8	13.1	14.9
ATL	15.0	16.8	13.9	11.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	46	47	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-5	19	14.9	14.9	0.04	12.1	15.8	-3.70
Jarvis Hayes	81	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	1	7	14.9	14.7	0.16	14.9	10.5	4.36
Etan Thomas	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	13.7	17.7	-4.02	13.4	15.7	-2.24
Larry Hughes	94	92	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	2	5	14.6	18.5	-3.86	13.7	18.4	-4.69
Gilbert Arenas	93	92	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	1	7	14.8	16.4	-1.68	13.9	16.9	-3.00
Juan Dixon	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	4	1	14.0	15.4	-1.42	12.9	14.8	-1.90
Brendan Haywood	34	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	12	-15	16.7	13.9	2.74	15.6	13.4	2.20
Kwame Brown	44	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	15	-21	16.8	13.4	3.40	16.7	11.9	4.82

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	43	44	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-9	9	11.4	16.1	-4.69	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Travis Hansen	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	6.7	14.7	-7.96	7.2	15.6	-8.40
Lee Nailon	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	-4	-1	12.4	14.6	-2.13	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Nazr Mohammed	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	12.8	14.6	-1.78	15.7	14.6	1.14
Jacque Vaughn	60	61	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.06	-3	-6	3	12.4	16.7	-4.28	13.5	17.1	-3.62
Jason Terry	76	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-7	5	13.7	15.3	-1.61	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-7	5	14.4	12.8	1.60	15.0	14.4	0.62
Theo Ratliff	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	4	-17	15.8	11.2	4.51	15.8	13.2	2.63
Stephen Jackson	60	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	1	-11	16.7	10.1	6.59	15.8	13.5	2.34
Dion Glover	58	58	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.29	-12	3	-15	15.6	11.9	3.66	16.6	12.4	4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%
GSW 110, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.29,0.34,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%
NYK 99, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.21,0.25,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	92.1%