NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	7.4 [385]		MVP	Baron Davis (GSW): +18.0%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.8 [400]		LVP	Jim Jackson (PHX): -16.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	21	67%	0.29	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.03	14	63%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	13	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.00	22	58%	0.06	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	8	55%	-0.02	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	0.03	23	54%	0.04	3	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.1	33.4	24.3	2.7	33.2	149.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.7%

PHX -17.1%

GSW +21.9%

PHX -3.5%

PHX -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	12.6	15.5	113.4	104.2	104.0
season	15.0	13.5		102.3	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.2		106.2	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.3	17.7	19.5	16.8	17.2
PHX	12.9	11.8	13.3	12.5	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	73	71	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.25	14	-4	18	17.5	16.3	1.23	12.9	11.8	1.09
Derek Fisher	57	58	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-4	18	16.4	18.4	-2.01	12.5	12.7	-0.18
Adonal Foyle	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	8	-6	17.4	16.8	0.65	12.3	13.2	-0.97
Mike Dunleavy	63	63	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	1	8	18.1	15.6	2.55	12.9	12.1	0.78
Jason Richardson	81	80	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	17.4	16.1	1.38	12.7	12.3	0.35
Mickael Pietrus	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	15.5	18.2	-2.62	12.5	12.7	-0.16
Andris Biedrins	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.17	8	2	6	16.8	17.4	-0.65	13.2	12.3	0.97
Troy Murphy	40	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	15	-20	18.0	16.6	1.42	12.0	13.0	-1.06
Zarko Cabarkapa	39	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.14	1	9	-8	16.6	17.6	-1.05	12.4	12.8	-0.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	48	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.15	-4	-6	2	12.2	13.0	-0.87	16.2	18.2	-2.00
Steve Nash	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-12	14	12.6	12.7	-0.12	18.4	14.5	3.88
Steven Hunter	20	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	11.7	12.8	-1.14	15.1	17.8	-2.75
Walter McCarty	8	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	1	-12	16.2	12.3	3.98	10.2	17.8	-7.59
Leandro Barbosa	26	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	1	-12	12.8	12.5	0.33	14.7	18.2	-3.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-7	4	12.9	11.0	1.90	17.9	13.9	4.04
Shawn Marion	83	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-10	10	12.2	15.3	-3.13	17.8	13.7	4.07
Quentin Richardson	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	-3	-4	12.7	12.3	0.38	17.1	17.8	-0.80
Joe Johnson	71	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	0	-10	12.8	12.2	0.60	17.9	15.2	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.29,0.34,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	92.5%
WAS 106, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.04,0,0,0,0	92.4%
NOH 91, MEM 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.08,0,0,0	92.4%