NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	7.2 [357]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +12.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	2.6 [285]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -29.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	21	51%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	6	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	16	59%	0.15	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.07
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Ledell Eackles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.05	4	-0.13	10	100%	0.05
Chris Webber	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.00	14	29%	-0.24	2	-0.05	10	30%	-0.13

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	77%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.08
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	38%	-0.01	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	11	55%	0.01	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	17	29%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	12	41%	-0.02	4	-0.17	10	60%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	26.2	14.8	33.8	1.8	33.4	137.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +10.2%

WAS +9.4%

POR -15.9%

WAS +43.9%

WAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	13.4	16.5	15.6	101.0	91.6	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		102.8	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	15.9	12.4	12.6	13.4
POR	16.7	19.4	14.4	16.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	54	52	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.15	20	-8	28	12.4	14.6	-2.15	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Tracy Murray	66	64	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.07	22	-10	32	12.4	15.5	-3.06	16.0	17.5	-1.58
Juwan Howard	84	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	5	2	13.3	14.0	-0.69	16.8	14.3	2.52
Chris Whitney	40	39	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	2	8	12.2	14.3	-2.08	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Calbert Cheaney	64	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	13	-14	14.3	11.7	2.56	16.6	16.3	0.30
Chris Webber	74	73	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	13.5	13.2	0.21	16.4	16.9	-0.55
Ledell Eackles	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	11	-10	14.6	13.3	1.26	16.0	16.5	-0.53
Terry Davis	26	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	15	-18	16.4	12.3	4.10	18.1	15.9	2.22
Harvey Grant	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	11	-10	11.9	13.7	-1.82	15.1	16.7	-1.57
Rod Strickland	66	64	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	16	-20	13.6	13.1	0.47	16.2	17.1	-0.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	48	49	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.05	10	-22	32	17.8	15.1	2.64	14.3	12.6	1.71
Gary Grant	61	63	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-11	10	15.1	18.9	-3.78	12.2	15.6	-3.37
Walt Williams	50	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-7	2	15.5	17.6	-2.08	12.3	14.6	-2.26
Arvydas Sabonis	72	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-12	12	16.0	17.9	-1.83	12.9	15.2	-2.31
Kelvin Cato	42	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-2	-8	17.6	15.6	2.03	13.3	13.5	-0.15
Stacey Augmon	43	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	2	-16	15.6	17.2	-1.61	12.9	13.8	-0.88
John Crotty	34	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	-1	-10	18.9	15.1	3.78	15.6	12.2	3.37
Isaiah Rider	60	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	3	-18	16.6	16.2	0.45	14.0	12.3	1.74
Brian Grant	65	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	2	-16	16.5	16.5	-0.07	14.0	12.2	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.11,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 110, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.29,0.34,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
PHI 86, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.21,0.22,0.08,0	91.7%
DEN 103, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.33,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0	91.5%