NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	7.1 [380]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (PHI): +15.6%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	3.7 [384]		LVP	Marc Jackson (GSW): -7.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.02	12	68%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	27	53%	0.15	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	14	73%	0.17	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
George Lynch	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Buford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	34	51%	0.20	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.05	0.06	13	77%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.02	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	67%	0.10	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Porter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
John Coker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	0.7	26.1	14.8	29.2	0.6	31.3	125.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +8.7%

PHI +31.2%

PHI +20.4%

GSW -10.6%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.6	15.5	122.9	115.8	100.9
season	15.7	15.0		101.4	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	15.1	14.4	17.6	15.6
GSW	13.5	16.2	14.4	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	83	83	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.31	21	-13	34	15.3	17.6	-2.34	14.8	13.2	1.59
Tyrone Hill	69	67	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.24	18	-10	28	15.2	16.5	-1.24	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Theo Ratliff	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	7	-6	16.3	13.7	2.66	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Jumaine Jones	43	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	-2	12	16.0	15.3	0.69	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Kevin Ollie	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	6	-4	15.5	15.7	-0.12	15.3	13.9	1.45
Allen Iverson	82	82	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	11	-14	16.2	12.1	4.04	14.0	18.0	-3.99
George Lynch	61	63	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	8	-8	15.2	16.3	-1.09	15.0	13.7	1.27
Toni Kukoc	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	7	-6	14.1	15.9	-1.84	17.7	13.9	3.76
Rodney Buford	9	8	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.06	-10	18	-28	14.1	15.7	-1.64	11.4	14.9	-3.48

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Coker	21	21	0.33	-0.83	1.17	-0.08	14	-22	36	15.3	14.4	0.93	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Chris Porter	46	46	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	-4	0	13.9	15.2	-1.33	14.0	17.0	-3.02
Mookie Blaylock	72	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-13	18	14.3	15.4	-1.16	16.3	13.7	2.53
Bob Sura	67	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	15.2	13.1	2.06	15.5	15.8	-0.24
Larry Hughes	65	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	13.7	16.3	-2.59	16.4	13.5	2.89
Antawn Jamison	95	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.6	0.0	14.56	15.6	0.0	15.59
Vonteego Cummings	41	42	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.33	-15	7	-22	15.2	14.1	1.12	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Marc Jackson	68	68	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.19	-22	14	-36	14.9	13.7	1.19	15.5	15.7	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.57,0.35,0.22,0.11,0.01,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 105, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	93.0%
BOS 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.9%
BOS 110, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.14,0.02,0,0,0	91.6%