NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	6.5 [562]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +16.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Comeback	60.7 [37]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -18.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.03	19	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	-0.00	-0.03	11	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	22	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.09	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	14	33%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.01	26	55%	0.22	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.15	0.03	39	54%	0.28	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.8	33.8	14.8	34.3	2.7	31.4	146.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.6%

UTA -1.8%

UTA -1.2%

OKC +23.6%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	13.6	14.7	99.0	108.1	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		106.6	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.6		106.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.3	14.7	16.4	15.8	15.3
OKC	14.5	13.6	11.7	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	64	62	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-16	24	14.4	16.9	-2.44	13.7	13.5	0.15
Dante Exum	7	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-7	6	15.3	15.3	-0.02	12.8	13.7	-0.88
Derrick Favors	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-4	0	16.2	14.5	1.67	13.7	13.6	0.13
Rudy Gobert	63	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.32	7	-15	22	14.3	16.9	-2.57	14.0	12.9	1.15
Jonas Jerebko	11	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-4	0	15.7	15.2	0.48	13.9	13.6	0.29
Royce O'Neale	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-9	10	15.2	15.4	-0.13	12.2	14.8	-2.61
Ekpe Udoh	10	9	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	0	-8	15.5	15.3	0.22	11.4	13.9	-2.41
Jae Crowder	76	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	1	-10	15.8	13.8	1.98	13.4	14.4	-1.08
Donovan Mitchell	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	1	-10	15.0	16.6	-1.62	13.8	12.8	0.98
Ricky Rubio	71	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	5	-18	15.9	13.7	2.22	14.1	12.5	1.59

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	49	51	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.22	18	-10	28	13.4	13.8	-0.41	16.5	14.1	2.35
Steven Adams	85	85	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.18	16	-8	24	13.5	14.2	-0.67	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Paul George	92	92	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-5	18	13.8	11.7	2.07	15.3	15.2	0.05
Russell Westbrook	92	91	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	13.6	14.0	-0.39	15.3	15.8	-0.53
Jerami Grant	47	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-5	18	13.2	14.1	-0.89	15.7	14.9	0.84
Carmelo Anthony	51	53	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	14	-20	14.6	12.6	2.08	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Raymond Felton	7	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	14.0	13.6	0.39	15.8	15.3	0.53
Josh Huestis	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	13	-18	11.7	13.8	-2.07	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Patrick Patterson	15	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	15	-22	12.2	13.9	-1.69	14.4	15.5	-1.06
Corey Brewer	50	49	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	18	-28	13.8	13.4	0.41	14.1	16.5	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.73,0.89,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.94,0.84,1	91.7%
IND 81, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	91.7%
PHX 106, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	91.3%