NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	3.6 [1118]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +11.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Comeback	1.0 [414]		LVP	Jeff Green (CLE): -8.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	19	70%	0.17	4	-0.06	8	50%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	17	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	9	30%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	11	68%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	17	50%	0.08	3	-0.04	14	71%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	7	50%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	7	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	3.4	27.6	15.4	32.2	2.6	30.4	144.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.8%

IND +3.0%

IND +1.6%

IND +9.1%

IND +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	14.7	104.3	85.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		108.3	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	14.5	15.3	20.0	15.8
CLE	14.3	14.9	15.3	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	78	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.04	19	-1	20	15.5	17.1	-1.55	15.0	14.2	0.86
Thaddeus Young	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.21	23	-5	28	15.5	16.3	-0.86	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Victor Oladipo	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	-3	24	15.7	15.9	-0.13	15.6	12.6	3.00
Myles Turner	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.14	15	3	12	15.5	16.5	-0.98	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Darren Collison	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.15	14	4	10	15.4	16.5	-1.18	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Cory Joseph	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	16	-14	16.8	15.0	1.78	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Trevor Booker	23	22	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	12	-6	16.5	15.5	0.93	15.5	14.7	0.83
Lance Stephenson	35	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	19	-20	15.5	15.9	-0.37	13.7	15.6	-1.85
Domantas Sabonis	35	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.33	-9	27	-36	16.8	15.2	1.68	14.8	14.9	-0.12

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	10.0	15.0	-5.02	17.0	15.7	1.28
Tristan Thompson	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	10.0	15.0	-5.02	17.0	15.7	1.28
Jose Calderon	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-17	16	15.9	14.6	1.34	13.1	16.5	-3.35
Rodney Hood	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-12	6	15.4	14.5	0.89	17.2	14.8	2.36
Jordan Clarkson	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-17	16	14.0	15.5	-1.53	16.1	15.5	0.57
Kyle Korver	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-8	-2	13.5	15.0	-1.49	13.4	16.0	-2.63
Kevin Love	67	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-11	4	15.2	13.9	1.31	15.6	16.2	-0.67
George Hill	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-4	-10	14.6	15.1	-0.46	14.6	16.6	-1.94
JR Smith	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-10	2	15.1	14.4	0.68	15.6	16.0	-0.32
Larry Nance Jr.	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-5	-8	15.2	14.2	1.01	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Jeff Green	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-3	-12	14.8	14.9	-0.04	16.3	15.1	1.22
LeBron James	85	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-5	-8	14.7	16.6	-1.87	16.4	10.2	6.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.8%
MIL 97, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
UTA 98, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.4%