inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 97 Excitement3.3 [1094] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +6.8%
Detroit Pistons 79 Comeback1.0 [736] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -15.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.011855%0.0700.002100%0.00
Ray Allen0.030,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.051648%0.062-0.021100%0.00
Joel Przybilla0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00467%0.0100.001060%-0.01
Anthony Mason0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01656%0.0100.00475%0.01
Mark Pope0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rafer Alston0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Thomas-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.06952%0.025-0.053100%0.01
Ervin Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.01436%-0.0300.00367%0.00
Sam Cassell-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.021653%0.015-0.052100%0.01
Darvin Ham-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.00555%-0.004-0.0610%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.000.07989%0.082-0.041100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.09836%0.011-0.01633%-0.01
Victor Alexander00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.03560%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01945%-0.001-0.012100%-0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.020.000.05757%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.020.04275%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.00828%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.00-0.021018%-0.1000.0020%-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.20-0.00-0.052136%-0.113-0.041182%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.71.828.115.523.31.426.5123.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +33.3%
MIL +9.4%
MIL +11.0%
DET -8.2%
MIL +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDETNBAMILDETNBA
this game16.015.715.6106.686.8102.3
season15.315.7104.7101.9
opponent15.816.099.8105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL11.619.418.015.916.0
DET16.116.612.817.615.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Cassell65650.430.070.35-0.2222-42614.918.6-3.7216.413.92.53
Ray Allen68680.420.080.340.04135816.514.32.2114.917.9-2.97
Anthony Mason69700.350.150.20-0.061441015.816.5-0.7815.516.4-0.90
Tim Thomas51520.330.170.17-0.3122-42615.017.2-2.2216.814.22.56
Michael Redd59580.320.180.14-0.00117416.115.80.2716.214.81.42
Joel Przybilla58580.310.190.130.17513-815.117.4-2.2614.418.0-3.62
Darvin Ham48490.190.31-0.12-0.01711-417.414.42.9615.915.50.36
Ervin Johnson27270.140.36-0.22-0.03612-618.015.12.9617.115.12.07
Mark Pope540.000.50-0.500.15-523-2817.215.91.3210.715.9-5.17
Rafer Alston540.000.50-0.500.15-523-2817.215.91.3210.715.9-5.17

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mikki Moore16170.00-0.500.51-0.238-263416.915.41.4316.615.80.78
Victor Alexander670.00-0.500.50-0.093-212415.815.70.1514.716.1-1.35
Zeljko Rebraca670.00-0.500.50-0.093-212415.815.70.1514.716.1-1.35
Brian Cardinal2424-0.08-0.420.34-0.225-232816.515.41.1017.515.42.10
Michael Curry2930-0.21-0.290.070.08-10-8-216.315.40.9114.516.7-2.17
Damon Jones3636-0.23-0.270.05-0.20-1-171616.315.30.9718.514.34.26
Jon Barry5048-0.26-0.24-0.010.09-12-6-615.515.9-0.3816.315.50.80
Clifford Robinson5556-0.29-0.21-0.080.00-10-8-214.817.1-2.3516.415.31.14
Corliss Williamson3332-0.32-0.18-0.130.12-15-3-1216.915.01.9615.716.1-0.41
Chucky Atkins5757-0.35-0.15-0.190.21-191-2015.416.2-0.8714.518.5-4.01
Jerry Stackhouse7171-0.38-0.12-0.260.21-202-2215.217.3-2.0615.816.4-0.63
Ben Wallace7270-0.40-0.10-0.300.25-224-2615.616.2-0.6515.716.8-1.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 111, ORL 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
GSW 120, POR 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
MIL 109, BKN 940.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,095.9%