NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	109		Excitement	3.0 [1198]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +6.6%
Brooklyn Nets	94		Comeback	1.0 [1078]		LVP	Joe Harris (BKN): -7.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	20	68%	0.10	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	13	59%	0.05	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	4	79%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
John Henson	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.05	14	58%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	11	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	7	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.07	11	64%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	39%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Webb III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	8	19%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.03	11	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.7	22.0	14.8	29.2	1.8	27.3	123.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +19.8%

MIL +12.1%

MIL +13.9%

BKN -0.1%

MIL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	14.7	121.1	101.1	107.5
season	14.3	14.7		108.5	105.8
opponent	14.1	15.4		109.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.4	14.5	15.5	19.4	15.3
BKN	17.6	17.4	13.3	16.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	57	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.22	22	-7	29	14.9	15.9	-0.99	17.1	14.6	2.51
Khris Middleton	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-2	19	14.6	16.7	-2.13	16.7	15.0	1.71
Eric Bledsoe	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.20	20	-5	25	14.9	16.1	-1.18	16.9	14.7	2.28
Tony Snell	56	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-4	23	16.4	13.5	2.86	17.4	14.3	3.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo	52	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	-1	17	15.3	15.3	-0.05	16.5	15.6	0.88
Jabari Parker	35	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.27	-5	20	-25	14.8	15.7	-0.88	14.7	17.1	-2.40
Sean Kilpatrick	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	13	-11	13.6	15.7	-2.05	15.6	16.3	-0.63
Matthew Dellavedova	27	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	17	-19	16.1	15.0	1.20	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Sterling Brown	49	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	16	-17	15.9	14.6	1.29	15.2	17.4	-2.15
Thon Maker	33	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.28	-7	22	-29	15.9	14.9	0.99	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Jason Terry	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.7	15.3	0.37	11.3	16.3	-4.98
Rashad Vaughn	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	15.7	15.3	0.37	11.3	16.3	-4.98

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	18	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.21	10	-25	35	12.2	17.1	-4.94	19.9	14.2	5.71
D'Angelo Russell	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-18	21	14.4	17.4	-3.04	14.3	16.1	-1.81
James Webb III	29	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-14	13	15.4	16.5	-1.12	16.7	14.7	1.94
Jahlil Okafor	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-10	5	17.6	15.7	1.84	12.6	16.1	-3.49
Caris LeVert	48	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-18	21	14.5	17.9	-3.45	15.8	14.8	0.98
Quincy Acy	42	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-11	7	15.5	16.7	-1.27	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Joe Harris	51	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-4	-7	16.2	16.0	0.19	14.5	16.2	-1.65
DeMarre Carroll	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-1	-13	16.6	15.2	1.42	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Spencer Dinwiddie	53	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	5	-25	18.0	13.7	4.30	15.5	15.1	0.32
Allen Crabbe	53	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	0	-15	17.2	14.8	2.33	15.1	15.6	-0.44
Jarrett Allen	50	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	6	-27	17.3	14.8	2.49	16.1	14.4	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 128, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.3%
GSW 128, PHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	96.2%
DAL 110, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%