NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	120		Excitement	2.6 [1239]		MVP	Al Harrington (GSW): +13.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1285]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -7.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.02	16	67%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.01	0.07	16	71%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.08	19	69%	0.11	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	64%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	16	32%	-0.00	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.19	-0.00	0.18	18	69%	0.03	3	-0.03	16	100%	0.02
Luke Schenscher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	64%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	-0.00	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	13	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	-0.07	7	31%	-0.02	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.3	28.5	29.3	27.1	1.8	24.8	142.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.9%

POR -3.3%

GSW +5.0%

GSW +12.4%

POR -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	12.4	15.4	15.4	117.6	93.3	104.5
season	13.5	16.7		105.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.2		108.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	9.6	12.8	12.7	14.5	12.4
POR	16.8	16.0	14.4	14.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	75	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.45	31	-9	40	11.3	15.3	-4.04	15.9	13.9	2.06
Stephen Jackson	73	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.42	30	-8	38	12.2	12.9	-0.70	16.5	12.6	3.96
Al Harrington	68	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	9	4	11.0	15.1	-4.09	15.8	14.7	1.10
Jason Richardson	74	76	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	7	8	11.2	15.5	-4.28	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Matt Barnes	54	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	9	4	13.3	11.3	1.94	15.9	14.8	1.12
Monta Ellis	75	77	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	19	-16	13.1	10.3	2.81	15.0	16.6	-1.67
Mickael Pietrus	54	52	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	20	-18	13.5	11.1	2.34	14.6	16.2	-1.55
Andris Biedrins	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	16	-10	15.1	11.2	3.97	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Kelenna Azubuike	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.3	12.1	4.22	4.8	16.1	-11.23

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Schenscher	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-20	18	10.4	16.3	-5.86	10.8	12.6	-1.83
Dan Dickau	65	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-28	34	15.1	15.9	-0.82	14.4	9.1	5.24
Sergio Rodriguez	54	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-19	16	15.5	15.3	0.20	12.0	12.7	-0.65
Raef LaFrentz	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.31	-20	-2	-18	17.1	14.7	2.41	12.6	12.2	0.41
Jamaal Magloire	76	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-8	-6	15.9	14.0	1.91	12.4	12.3	0.09
Travis Outlaw	87	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-14	6	15.2	16.4	-1.24	12.5	11.6	0.95
Fred Jones	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	-3	-16	16.0	14.6	1.33	12.0	13.0	-1.07
Jarrett Jack	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.32	-25	3	-28	15.4	15.5	-0.06	12.2	12.6	-0.48
Martell Webster	72	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.31	-25	3	-28	15.2	15.9	-0.76	11.3	14.5	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 112, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIN 113, GSW 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
GSW 103, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%