NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	6.7 [530]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +19.1%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	2.9 [477]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -10.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	15	71%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.01	6	73%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	18	40%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	13	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	22	64%	0.31	6	-0.18	6	100%	0.04
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	9	57%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	22	48%	0.06	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.05
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.3	27.4	14.8	29.4	3.4	33.3	138.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.0%

WAS -10.4%

TOR +17.0%

TOR +24.2%

WAS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	14.7	113.3	103.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		112.7	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	12.8	16.5	20.2	16.0
WAS	16.4	18.5	14.1	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	40	39	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.22	18	-8	26	16.7	15.3	1.41	17.0	15.6	1.45
Fred VanVleet	36	34	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-2	14	15.6	16.2	-0.64	17.5	15.4	2.03
Delon Wright	45	43	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-2	14	17.1	14.8	2.24	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Jakob Poeltl	32	31	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	6	-2	14.9	16.6	-1.65	16.8	15.9	0.96
CJ Miles	37	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	14.9	16.7	-1.73	17.1	15.6	1.51
Jonas Valanciunas	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	16.6	14.9	1.65	15.9	16.8	-0.96
Kyle Lowry	59	60	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	10	-10	16.3	15.4	0.88	15.4	18.0	-2.60
OG Anunoby	37	39	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	15.5	16.3	-0.77	16.7	15.8	0.94
Serge Ibaka	43	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	15	-20	15.1	16.7	-1.58	16.0	16.4	-0.33
DeMar DeRozan	63	63	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	16	-22	16.0	15.8	0.22	15.4	18.2	-2.74

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	48	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-11	12	16.5	15.9	0.53	16.6	15.2	1.38
Ian Mahinmi	15	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-6	2	17.1	16.0	1.11	12.9	16.6	-3.68
Tomas Satoransky	35	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-4	-2	15.5	16.7	-1.20	14.6	16.8	-2.22
Markieff Morris	69	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	16.0	17.0	-1.01	16.8	13.1	3.62
Mike Scott	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	15.5	16.6	-1.08	13.9	17.0	-3.10
John Wall	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-7	4	16.2	16.1	0.18	16.4	13.7	2.70
Ty Lawson	35	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	1	-12	15.9	16.4	-0.54	17.3	15.1	2.23
Bradley Beal	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	3	-16	16.1	17.1	-1.00	16.0	16.1	-0.17
Marcin Gortat	58	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	-2	-6	17.1	14.5	2.65	15.8	16.3	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0	94.0%
MIA 106, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.04,0,0	93.4%
ATL 100, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.14,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.9%