inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 106 Excitement7.5 [352] MVPMorris Peterson (TOR): +23.0%
Toronto Raptors 98 Comeback2.9 [197] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -24.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Laettner0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.190.080.110.00683%0.1900.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.160,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.060.08-0.02874%0.171-0.01771%-0.01
Damon Jones0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.130.070.070.02967%0.1300.00683%0.01
Keyon Dooling0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.070.00487%0.151-0.0400%0.00
Rasual Butler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.01865%0.0700.0010%-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal-0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.001362%0.053-0.06633%-0.07
Michael Doleac-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.090.00517%-0.1600.0020%-0.07
Eddie Jones-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.15-0.08-0.00523%-0.114-0.12333%-0.05
Dwyane Wade-0.250,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25-0.08-0.130.041751%-0.115-0.13580%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.140.090.00889%0.2300.00367%-0.01
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.160.160.090.080.002057%0.1600.004100%0.02
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.02-0.03643%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Loren Woods0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00744%-0.051-0.02250%-0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.02-0.100.021350%-0.091-0.05425%-0.07
Rafer Alston0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.12-0.001368%0.088-0.252100%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.14-0.09-0.021035%-0.133-0.08683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.531.317.625.52.435.5137.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.7%
TOR -12.5%
MIA +11.5%
MIA +17.1%
MIA +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game16.115.615.5117.8106.5104.0
season15.715.1107.9104.8
opponent15.415.5106.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.317.015.715.316.1
TOR15.715.017.014.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade67690.410.090.320.1210-21216.514.81.6515.715.40.22
Eddie Jones77790.370.130.240.2544016.016.2-0.2015.317.7-2.44
Christian Laettner22250.310.190.120.059-11018.015.42.5114.416.0-1.59
Keyon Dooling27270.270.230.050.1062417.215.61.6715.415.7-0.27
Shaquille O'Neal70710.270.230.040.2708-815.617.6-1.9915.017.5-2.43
Michael Doleac20210.230.27-0.04-0.0180817.615.61.9917.515.02.43
Rasual Butler35360.220.28-0.050.1726-415.516.4-0.9816.215.21.07
Damon Jones64650.220.28-0.050.1726-415.517.5-1.9815.715.40.27
Udonis Haslem68670.190.31-0.120.22-19-1015.418.0-2.5116.014.41.59

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Loren Woods42430.05-0.550.600.021-91016.714.72.0515.916.2-0.33
Chris Bosh7978-0.15-0.350.20-0.243-111415.814.41.4115.916.8-0.90
Lamond Murray3937-0.18-0.320.140.03-7-1-615.016.1-1.0815.816.2-0.46
Matt Bonner1110-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.07-7-1-613.715.9-2.1218.315.82.52
Jalen Rose8179-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.32-4-4015.813.91.9215.619.0-3.35
Morris Peterson6666-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.20-91-1015.815.20.5716.514.81.67
Rafer Alston9290-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-815.60.015.6016.10.016.06
Donyell Marshall5047-0.550.05-0.60-0.29-91-1014.716.7-2.0516.215.90.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.04,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 84, CHH 810.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.04,094.2%
TOR 89, GSW 820.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.04,094.0%
SAC 107, PHX 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.08,093.6%