NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	6.2 [574]		MVP	Stromile Swift (HOU): +11.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	3.5 [221]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): -14.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	7	55%	0.12	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Rick Brunson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.02	3	44%	0.08	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.02
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	24	50%	0.06	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	14	53%	0.05	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	56%	0.01	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Luther Head	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	6	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.07
Juwan Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	0.00	13	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.02	0.10	19	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	17	37%	-0.01	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.06	0.04	7	25%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	16	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.2	15.8	26.2	2.6	44.1	141.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.1%

MIN -1.2%

HOU +17.0%

MIN -13.4%

MIN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.6	95.9	89.7	104.4
season	16.1	16.1		99.9	101.0
opponent	15.9	16.1		103.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	15.2	14.2	12.7	14.5
MIN	14.0	17.5	16.5	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	50	50	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.15	26	-20	46	14.2	14.7	-0.56	17.7	12.6	5.04
Luther Head	41	42	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.33	19	-13	32	13.0	15.5	-2.48	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Rick Brunson	24	25	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	0	6	13.8	14.7	-0.88	15.3	15.2	0.06
David Wesley	88	89	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	4	-2	14.3	15.9	-1.58	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Yao Ming	68	68	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	8	-10	15.0	13.2	1.83	15.3	15.1	0.24
Charles Hayes	1	1	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	5	-4	9.0	14.5	-5.51	27.0	15.1	11.89
Ryan Bowen	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	11	-16	1.0	14.9	-13.88	4.0	15.7	-11.72
Juwan Howard	69	67	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	9	-12	15.4	12.2	3.15	14.5	16.9	-2.36
Keith Bogans	62	61	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.06	-5	11	-16	15.3	13.0	2.23	15.8	14.3	1.48
Rafer Alston	79	78	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	15	-24	14.4	14.6	-0.19	14.6	17.8	-3.24

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	75	78	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-8	10	15.4	14.8	0.54	15.3	11.1	4.23
Justin Reed	29	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-5	4	14.3	15.6	-1.27	12.0	15.4	-3.35
Marcus Banks	77	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-13	20	14.4	18.3	-3.92	14.5	14.3	0.15
Trenton Hassell	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-7	8	14.1	18.0	-3.93	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Eddie Griffin	24	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	5	-16	18.6	14.1	4.50	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Marko Jaric	20	21	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	7	-20	18.3	14.4	3.92	14.3	14.5	-0.15
Rashad McCants	43	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	0	-6	14.3	16.0	-1.72	13.0	15.5	-2.48
Ricky Davis	93	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	15.3	12.7	2.59	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Mark Blount	55	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	0	-6	16.1	14.2	1.89	16.1	12.1	4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0	94.0%
DEN 94, SEA 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.49,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.3%
MIA 106, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.04,0,0	92.7%