NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	3.6 [1082]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +21.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	137		Comeback	1.0 [432]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -3.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.01	0.05	22	58%	0.12	1	-0.01	16	94%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	16	44%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	13	45%	0.02	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.00	0.00	27	69%	0.25	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	14	74%	0.16	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.01	-0.04	22	57%	0.16	2	-0.02	10	60%	-0.02
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	57%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	1	83%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	41.5	2.0	33.1	17.3	37.5	3.5	35.4	170.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.0%

GSW -3.5%

GSW -3.3%

CLE +4.2%

CLE +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	16.0	14.8	117.2	142.7	107.7
season	13.5	14.9		114.9	113.5
opponent	14.7	15.1		109.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.7	13.8	15.2	14.0	13.5
CLE	13.2	15.0	17.6	19.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-20	19	9.0	13.8	-4.78	15.7	16.1	-0.40
James Michael McAdoo	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-20	19	9.0	13.8	-4.78	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Patrick McCaw	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.19	-7	-14	7	13.5	13.5	-0.08	16.1	16.0	0.11
Ian Clark	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-20	19	12.6	13.6	-1.01	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Andre Iguodala	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-30	39	13.8	13.3	0.53	16.5	15.7	0.81
JaVale McGee	16	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-17	13	11.2	14.0	-2.80	11.3	16.9	-5.57
David West	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-20	19	14.1	13.4	0.77	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Zaza Pachulia	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-10	-1	14.1	13.3	0.83	16.4	15.9	0.51
Klay Thompson	66	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-14	7	14.1	12.4	1.76	17.2	13.3	3.86
Shaun Livingston	40	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.18	-15	-6	-9	13.6	13.5	0.15	15.1	16.6	-1.44
Kevin Durant	81	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	1	-23	13.6	13.3	0.31	16.2	15.5	0.71
Draymond Green	82	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	-2	-17	13.5	13.5	0.01	16.1	15.6	0.50
Stephen Curry	78	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.27	-25	4	-29	13.6	13.4	0.20	16.0	16.2	-0.18

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	80	83	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.34	32	-11	43	16.1	15.6	0.58	13.9	11.8	2.05
Kevin Love	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.17	18	3	15	14.5	19.0	-4.46	13.0	14.6	-1.56
JR Smith	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	7	7	17.6	14.0	3.65	13.6	13.4	0.25
Kyrie Irving	80	80	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	14	-7	16.7	12.9	3.80	13.9	11.8	2.10
Tristan Thompson	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	18	-15	16.8	13.8	3.00	13.7	13.0	0.74
Richard Jefferson	40	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	8	5	17.1	15.2	1.90	13.9	13.2	0.71
Iman Shumpert	26	29	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	9	3	13.7	16.9	-3.22	12.5	14.0	-1.49
Deron Williams	27	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	18	-15	14.1	16.8	-2.74	12.0	14.2	-2.28
Kyle Korver	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	18	-15	15.3	16.3	-0.94	15.7	12.9	2.81
Dahntay Jones	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.0	16.1	-1.10	10.7	13.7	-2.90
James Jones	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.0	16.1	-1.10	10.7	13.7	-2.90
Derrick Williams	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.0	16.1	-1.10	10.7	13.7	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NOK 73, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SAC 102, DAL 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%