NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	2.6 [1243]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +14.0%
Dallas Mavericks	123		Comeback	1.0 [1307]		LVP	Darryl Watkins (SAC): -7.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	14	65%	0.13	1	-0.01	15	100%	0.05
Francisco Garcia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.21	-0.00	0.12	10	92%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	18	63%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darryl Watkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	6	35%	-0.01	4	-0.07	5	40%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	17	66%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.00	0.05	11	100%	0.17	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	-0.00	8	76%	0.12	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	11	86%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	89%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Fazekas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	32.1	16.7	26.3	2.7	28.3	134.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.0%

DAL +2.1%

DAL +6.5%

DAL +7.5%

SAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	17.1	15.4	114.6	138.2	105.7
season	14.9	16.1		105.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.0		105.0	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.1	14.5	16.4	18.9	15.3
DAL	19.2	13.8	17.9	18.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-25	29	15.8	15.1	0.70	17.5	17.0	0.49
Kenny Thomas	14	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-20	19	12.1	15.9	-3.78	17.1	17.1	-0.02
Orien Greene	17	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-13	5	15.0	15.3	-0.32	14.5	17.8	-3.27
Quincy Douby	23	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-17	13	15.0	15.3	-0.35	17.7	16.9	0.77
Darryl Watkins	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-15	9	15.6	14.8	0.84	16.1	18.2	-2.06
Mikki Moore	49	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	-6	-9	16.0	14.3	1.65	17.5	16.5	1.05
Brad Miller	50	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	3	-27	14.9	15.8	-0.91	17.4	16.6	0.77
Francisco Garcia	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-9	-3	15.6	13.4	2.17	17.0	17.5	-0.47
John Salmons	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-4	-13	15.3	15.3	-0.03	17.4	15.7	1.65
Kevin Martin	77	75	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	1	-23	15.1	16.5	-1.44	17.4	15.6	1.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	55	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	2	17	17.4	16.6	0.78	15.4	15.0	0.43
Josh Howard	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	-2	25	17.4	16.6	0.81	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Jose Juan Barea	56	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	2	17	16.9	17.5	-0.56	14.7	16.1	-1.41
DeSagana Diop	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	6	9	17.5	16.6	0.87	15.4	15.1	0.21
Eddie Jones	30	30	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	9	3	15.4	18.0	-2.62	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Jason Terry	51	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	12	-3	17.2	16.9	0.31	15.6	14.7	0.90
Juwan Howard	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	16	-11	16.9	17.2	-0.35	13.9	16.1	-2.14
Brandon Bass	37	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	15	-9	16.1	17.8	-1.70	15.9	14.7	1.18
Jerry Stackhouse	27	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	22	-23	16.7	17.3	-0.52	13.3	16.2	-2.89
Trenton Hassell	37	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	17	-13	18.0	16.4	1.58	17.5	13.8	3.77
Maurice Ager	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	19.8	16.9	2.93	18.6	15.1	3.54
Nick Fazekas	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	18.8	17.0	1.80	16.5	15.2	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 123, DEN 132	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHI 76, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHI 80, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%