NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	76		Excitement	2.1 [1233]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +6.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Dickey Simpkins (CHI): -7.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kornel David	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Corey Benjamin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	14	64%	-0.00	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	7	22%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dedric Willoughby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	11	85%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	57%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00
Andrae Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	12	46%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.4	14.7	25.0	1.5	26.6	120.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.9%

MIN +5.6%

MIN +4.6%

MIN +8.8%

MIN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.2	83.5	105.6	101.7
season	16.5	15.1		91.8	103.5
opponent	15.7	14.9		101.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.8	15.8	16.3	17.6	17.1
MIN	14.0	14.1	14.3	17.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kornel David	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-22	26	13.9	18.3	-4.44	15.7	14.6	1.14
Chris Anstey	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-19	20	14.6	18.1	-3.50	15.9	14.5	1.44
Khalid Reeves	51	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-25	32	15.9	18.5	-2.58	15.9	13.7	2.14
Michael Ruffin	46	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-21	24	15.6	18.6	-2.97	15.7	14.1	1.51
Will Perdue	29	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-17	16	17.3	16.9	0.37	15.3	14.8	0.54
Dedric Willoughby	42	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	15.7	18.2	-2.45	15.3	14.6	0.78
Corey Benjamin	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	-8	-2	18.5	14.7	3.75	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Dickey Simpkins	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	0	-18	18.7	16.0	2.74	13.9	15.6	-1.75
B.J. Armstrong	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.28	-24	6	-30	17.8	16.5	1.29	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Elton Brand	45	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.19	-21	3	-24	18.6	15.6	2.97	14.1	15.7	-1.51
Metta World Peace	58	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	4	-26	18.6	14.4	4.13	14.7	15.3	-0.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	-5	28	14.4	16.6	-2.28	17.8	14.6	3.25
Terrell Brandon	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	-5	28	14.5	16.1	-1.59	18.2	14.0	4.16
Sam Mitchell	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	1	16	14.3	15.9	-1.60	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Malik Sealy	65	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	1	16	14.6	15.7	-1.02	18.0	14.6	3.38
Rasho Nesterovic	44	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.21	19	-1	20	14.4	15.5	-1.10	19.2	15.0	4.20
Joe Smith	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	14	-10	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.7	18.5	-2.79
Anthony Peeler	53	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	18	-18	16.1	13.2	2.81	16.4	18.1	-1.75
William Avery	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	22	-26	15.9	14.5	1.39	13.9	18.3	-4.38
Tom Hammonds	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	25	-32	15.8	14.7	1.17	13.5	18.0	-4.53
Andrae Patterson	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	20	-22	19.6	14.5	5.05	13.3	17.4	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 94, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
LAL 78, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ATL 78, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%