NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	78		Excitement	2.4 [1265]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +8.2%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -6.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	0.00	0.09	21	61%	-0.02	2	-0.02	20	80%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.04	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	10	47%	-0.05	3	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	13	75%	0.08	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.16	0.00	0.13	11	92%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	84%	0.07	5	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	52%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	3.7	30.1	17.5	31.5	4.4	33.7	150.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.4%

LAL -0.2%

UTA +3.7%

UTA +1.5%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.7	15.5	86.7	113.0	104.0
season	15.7	16.7		105.8	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.7	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	14.6	15.4	13.0	15.0
UTA	15.8	18.8	15.2	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-22	18	9.4	15.5	-6.15	12.5	17.0	-4.55
Brian Cook	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.19	-8	-18	10	13.7	15.7	-2.00	16.8	16.6	0.16
Brian Grant	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-28	30	14.7	15.0	-0.32	17.6	16.4	1.17
Kareem Rush	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-19	12	14.0	15.5	-1.57	17.2	16.3	0.92
Jumaine Jones	29	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-26	26	14.1	15.4	-1.34	18.5	15.7	2.81
Luke Walton	22	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.32	-15	-11	-4	12.9	15.6	-2.74	16.1	16.8	-0.71
Chucky Atkins	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-15	4	15.7	14.5	1.19	15.6	17.4	-1.74
Tierre Brown	39	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-21	16	16.1	14.1	1.94	18.0	15.6	2.43
Caron Butler	45	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-8	-10	15.9	14.0	1.91	15.4	17.8	-2.47
Lamar Odom	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.33	-25	-1	-24	15.3	14.0	1.33	16.4	17.3	-0.86
Chris Mihm	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	-5	-16	16.1	13.9	2.22	16.4	16.9	-0.49
Kobe Bryant	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	-8	-10	15.1	14.2	0.87	16.8	15.6	1.27

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.36	29	-3	32	16.9	15.8	1.10	15.6	12.9	2.67
Keith McLeod	56	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.47	29	-3	32	16.2	17.3	-1.12	14.8	15.3	-0.56
Carlos Boozer	68	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.37	25	1	24	15.5	19.9	-4.36	14.9	15.3	-0.42
Raja Bell	50	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.22	15	11	4	16.8	16.5	0.37	14.5	15.5	-0.93
Mehmet Okur	39	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	24	-22	17.0	16.4	0.65	15.1	14.9	0.27
Curtis Borchardt	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	22	-18	17.7	16.3	1.41	15.2	14.9	0.36
Matt Harpring	53	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	16	-6	17.7	15.2	2.47	14.4	15.7	-1.26
Jarron Collins	18	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	19	-12	15.8	16.9	-1.09	16.4	14.6	1.76
Gordan Giricek	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	18	-10	14.8	17.2	-2.41	16.6	14.4	2.13
Kirk Snyder	17	17	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	24	-22	18.4	16.3	2.09	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Howard Eisley	36	34	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	29	-32	17.3	16.2	1.12	15.3	14.8	0.56
Kris Humphries	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	13.7	16.9	-3.19	7.8	15.5	-7.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 76, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 64, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
UTA 98, SAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%