NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	2.3 [1279]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +7.0%
San Antonio Spurs	123		Comeback	1.1 [1309]		LVP	Rodney Hood (UTA): -8.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	17	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	62%	0.04	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tibor Pleiss	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	16	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	0.00	0.06	5	64%	-0.02	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	13	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	8	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	87%	0.09	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	65%	0.07	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	70%	0.06	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	7	65%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	28.8	14.8	22.4	1.8	26.2	119.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.6%

UTA -3.1%

SAS +1.6%

SAS +13.4%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	14.9	102.1	129.5	105.1
season	16.3	15.7		104.6	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		97.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	14.6	15.3	15.8	15.6
SAS	13.8	13.6	15.3	15.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	46	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-26	27	14.3	16.8	-2.54	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Chris Johnson	48	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-22	19	15.4	15.9	-0.50	15.0	14.0	0.98
Tibor Pleiss	47	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-19	13	15.6	15.7	-0.10	15.5	13.6	1.86
Trevor Booker	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-20	15	14.9	16.1	-1.15	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Trey Burke	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-22	19	15.6	15.7	-0.12	14.8	14.2	0.62
Raul Neto	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.36	-22	-3	-19	15.7	15.6	0.12	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Trey Lyles	59	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-7	-11	16.1	14.9	1.15	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Jeff Withey	49	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-4	-17	15.7	15.6	0.10	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Rodney Hood	40	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.22	-21	-4	-17	16.7	14.8	1.93	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Gordon Hayward	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.32	-27	2	-29	16.1	14.9	1.21	14.4	14.7	-0.22

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	-2	29	14.4	14.7	-0.37	16.4	14.7	1.70
Kawhi Leonard	43	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	11	3	14.3	14.7	-0.37	17.0	14.3	2.72
David West	50	49	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.24	20	5	15	14.5	14.5	-0.01	16.0	15.2	0.81
Manu Ginobili	45	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	17	-9	14.5	14.5	-0.03	15.5	15.7	-0.24
Ray McCallum	50	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	13	-1	14.6	14.4	0.24	15.6	15.6	0.00
Patty Mills	45	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.13	13	12	1	14.4	14.6	-0.24	15.6	15.6	0.00
Danny Green	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	18	-11	13.4	14.9	-1.51	16.0	15.5	0.55
Boris Diaw	33	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	24	-23	14.1	14.7	-0.62	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Jonathon Simmons	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	16	-7	15.2	14.1	1.17	14.1	16.5	-2.47
Kyle Anderson	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.13	7	18	-11	14.9	14.2	0.72	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Boban Marjanovic	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	28	-31	14.5	14.6	-0.11	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Rasual Butler	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	19	-13	14.9	14.5	0.42	15.6	15.6	0.01
Matt Bonner	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	15.7	14.4	1.31	14.9	15.7	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 64, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
NYK 90, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
OKC 94, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%