NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	123		Excitement	2.5 [1196]		MVP	LaPhonso Ellis (DEN): +16.0%
Denver Nuggets	132		Comeback	1.0 [1047]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -4.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	17	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	21	65%	0.09	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Lloyd Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Werdann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Xavier McDaniel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ed O'Bannon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	7	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	0.00	0.09	12	67%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.29	0.02	0.14	18	92%	0.16	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	20	62%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.00	-0.07	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.01	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.7	26.4	15.7	28.2	2.4	31.6	127.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +38.6%

DEN +4.3%

NJN -1.9%

DEN +9.1%

DEN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.0	13.4	15.6	116.0	126.9	104.4
season	15.4	15.2		101.7	102.3
opponent	15.3	14.9		108.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	15.1	13.8	11.9	14.0
DEN	13.2	12.6	12.4	15.6	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Werdann	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-12	15	13.7	14.1	-0.42	11.7	13.6	-1.85
Xavier McDaniel	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-6	3	16.5	13.9	2.61	15.2	13.3	1.89
Ed O'Bannon	52	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-22	35	12.9	15.2	-2.30	13.4	13.3	0.10
Lloyd Daniels	52	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.43	10	-19	29	13.9	14.2	-0.26	13.4	13.4	-0.00
Khalid Reeves	57	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	0	-9	13.1	15.1	-1.98	11.8	15.2	-3.46
Yinka Dare	48	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-12	15	14.1	14.0	0.12	15.5	11.7	3.79
Tony Massenburg	47	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.29	-20	11	-31	15.4	13.0	2.42	12.3	14.3	-2.00
Robert Pack	33	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	6	-21	15.2	13.5	1.71	13.5	13.3	0.18
Kerry Kittles	87	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-9	9	13.4	17.0	-3.61	13.8	11.7	2.02
Jayson Williams	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.24	-21	12	-33	15.4	12.6	2.83	13.0	13.9	-0.87
Kendall Gill	82	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	13.9	14.6	-0.76	13.8	11.9	1.96

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	83	85	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-5	19	13.1	14.7	-1.61	14.0	14.3	-0.37
Ervin Johnson	73	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-7	23	12.2	16.1	-3.91	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Mark Jackson	86	88	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	-4	17	13.0	15.2	-2.22	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Bryant Stith	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	-2	13	13.1	14.1	-0.95	13.6	15.0	-1.41
Antonio McDyess	54	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	-6	21	13.1	13.7	-0.53	15.5	12.6	2.87
Ricky Pierce	29	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	11	-13	14.1	13.1	0.95	15.0	13.6	1.41
Dale Ellis	54	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.46	-9	18	-27	13.6	13.2	0.43	13.0	15.3	-2.33
Brooks Thompson	18	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	13	-17	15.2	13.0	2.22	14.3	14.0	0.29
Darvin Ham	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	11	-13	15.1	13.0	2.07	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Tom Hammonds	31	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.33	-7	16	-23	16.1	12.2	3.91	14.2	13.9	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, CHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
MEM 89, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHA 75, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%