inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 80 Excitement2.7 [1216] MVPKevin Garnett (BOS): +7.4%
Boston Celtics 96 Comeback1.0 [1232] LVPTyrus Thomas (CHI): -14.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Rose0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031453%0.053-0.036100%0.02
Andres Nocioni0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04437%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Demetris Nichols0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.03375%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Aaron Gray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02333%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.03853%0.002-0.041100%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04731%-0.022-0.03250%-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.03647%-0.042-0.023100%0.00
Luol Deng-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.011033%-0.041-0.024100%0.01
Ben Gordon-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.060.000.021046%-0.063-0.024100%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.150,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.200.02-0.041726%-0.123-0.02887%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.021169%0.103-0.024100%0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.001158%0.051-0.012100%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04852%0.043-0.031155%-0.03
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01659%0.033-0.021070%-0.02
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06125%0.0020.00250%0.00
Gabe Pruitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02343%-0.0110.001100%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.011156%0.012-0.023100%0.01
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.02325%-0.0210.002100%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.03944%-0.003-0.0400%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03830%-0.021-0.024100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.43.036.018.832.12.734.2155.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +42.4%
CHI -4.4%
BOS +0.6%
BOS +8.2%
BOS +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIBOSNBACHIBOSNBA
this game13.714.815.578.496.0106.4
season14.815.8106.3108.3
opponent15.615.7101.7107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.314.813.510.913.7
BOS15.015.914.813.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Demetris Nichols11100.00-0.500.50-0.3512-28408.614.3-5.6612.415.1-2.71
Andres Nocioni2828-0.08-0.420.33-0.111-171813.513.8-0.3115.314.70.62
Aaron Gray4141-0.12-0.380.27-0.265-212612.714.3-1.6014.714.9-0.27
Joakim Noah5148-0.20-0.300.11-0.252-182013.913.50.3514.415.3-0.93
Thabo Sefolosha4543-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-12812.414.7-2.2214.715.0-0.29
Kirk Hinrich5150-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-12814.512.91.6115.214.40.80
Ben Gordon5756-0.25-0.25-0.010.21-160-1614.013.30.7514.814.9-0.12
Drew Gooden4142-0.32-0.18-0.130.18-171-1814.912.91.9514.914.80.11
Derrick Rose6059-0.32-0.18-0.150.12-15-1-1413.314.2-0.8214.815.0-0.19
Tyrus Thomas6059-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-171-1813.713.60.0715.214.30.93
Luol Deng6564-0.42-0.08-0.340.37-2711-3814.612.12.4815.014.50.49

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo61620.420.080.35-0.051601614.914.80.1214.212.91.25
Kendrick Perkins57570.420.080.34-0.1419-32214.914.80.0514.512.61.86
Ray Allen58590.420.080.33-0.051601614.814.9-0.0314.213.01.11
Kevin Garnett53550.410.090.32-0.1519-32214.814.80.0214.712.52.22
Paul Pierce70710.400.100.29-0.2522-62815.213.91.3414.312.41.91
Tony Allen53530.180.32-0.140.15115-1414.715.0-0.2213.014.4-1.47
Eddie House40420.100.40-0.310.07115-1414.914.80.1412.514.5-2.02
Leon Powe37360.090.41-0.32-0.1797215.514.51.0313.713.7-0.03
Glen Davis32320.060.44-0.38-0.1788015.414.60.7914.613.31.28
Brian Scalabrine14160.010.49-0.480.39-1329-4213.615.0-1.4812.413.9-1.56
Gabe Pruitt15160.000.50-0.500.18-622-2812.915.2-2.249.614.5-4.89
Patrick O'Bryant10110.000.50-0.500.35-1228-4012.415.1-2.718.614.3-5.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 89, CLE 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
UTA 98, SAS 1230.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
DEN 104, HOU 1300.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%