NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	6.0 [630]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +21.5%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	2.4 [822]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -16.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.16	-0.01	24	51%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.04	0.01	8	100%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	22	66%	0.29	6	-0.14	9	89%	0.05
Channing Frye	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	18	62%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.09	0.04	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	11	80%	0.12	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	18	49%	-0.04	4	-0.12	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	34.9	15.8	27.2	3.7	41.0	150.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.8%

CLE +7.5%

TOR -4.8%

CLE +4.5%

TOR -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.1	14.8	116.0	112.1	107.7
season	14.9	15.2		113.5	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	13.4	17.3	18.8	16.0
TOR	14.2	14.8	16.2	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-7	21	16.0	16.0	-0.03	14.8	17.3	-2.53
Kevin Love	67	64	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.24	13	-6	19	16.1	15.7	0.44	14.7	16.3	-1.64
Kyle Korver	56	55	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	15.2	17.1	-1.85	15.6	14.5	1.06
LeBron James	91	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.8	21.0	-5.19	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Tristan Thompson	59	57	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.46	-12	19	-31	18.3	12.1	6.20	14.5	16.3	-1.84
Deron Williams	28	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	15.5	16.2	-0.73	16.7	14.5	2.22
Channing Frye	24	24	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	3	1	12.7	17.1	-4.34	16.7	14.6	2.07
JR Smith	43	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	8	-9	16.1	15.9	0.25	14.5	15.6	-1.06
Iman Shumpert	23	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	13	-19	15.9	16.0	-0.09	16.2	14.8	1.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	20	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-8	9	15.3	15.1	0.20	13.3	16.8	-3.47
Fred VanVleet	15	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-5	3	17.9	14.6	3.34	12.5	16.7	-4.19
Jonas Valanciunas	47	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-10	13	15.1	15.2	-0.16	18.8	13.3	5.45
DeMarre Carroll	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	0	-7	12.2	15.7	-3.46	12.2	16.6	-4.42
Norman Powell	45	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	5	-17	16.4	13.9	2.44	14.9	17.0	-2.17
DeMar DeRozan	86	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-5	3	15.1	15.2	-0.06	16.0	14.7	1.28
PJ Tucker	88	91	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.1	16.0	-0.89	15.8	21.0	-5.19
Serge Ibaka	64	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-3	-1	15.0	15.6	-0.59	16.6	14.3	2.31
Cory Joseph	76	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-2	-3	14.6	17.9	-3.34	16.7	12.5	4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.2,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	92.0%
HOU 103, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.02,0,0	91.3%
POR 87, LAC 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.22,0.07,0,0,0,0	91.2%